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Cheltenham 2019 Ante Post Thread

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by the don, Oct 9, 2018.

  1. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Oooh that puts me in mind of those cold war espionage stories with good old Bernard Samson with double agents and triple agents etc.
     
    #341
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  2. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Santini is very much on the drift in the RSA, right now. Currently available at 4/1 with several firms. Ladbrokes though have countered this and shortened the old by into 5/2!
     
    #342
  3. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    #343
  4. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    So what is the 3rd horse? <whistle>
     
    #344
  5. Chaninbar

    Chaninbar The Crafty Cockney

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    My sympathy for connections is somewhat limited given the strokes they've tried to pull with the handicapper over the years at the Festival. One in particular (name escapes me) in the Coral Cup that would run like a dog all season and then 'come alive' at Cheltenham. As I recall it didn't win but came very close. I think it was turned over by an either bigger rogue (McCain) one year. What JP really means is that they're not 20lb well in so they won't win.
     
    #345
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  6. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Money coming for Santini again and now only available at 4’s in one place (William Hill).

    Meanwhile, eye catchingly good money for the ‘Endo ‘orse, Dream Du Grand Val, in the ‘County’. 20’s earlier today now as low as 10/1. Also in the Imperial Cup at the weekend.
     
    #346
  7. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

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    Samcro out.
     
    #347
  8. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Santini very lame apparently... surely they take him out?
     
    #348
  9. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    9/4 fav now
     
    #349
  10. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    After Henderson coming out just yesterday to say he sees no reason why Santini won't run in the RSA. Hopefully anyone backing him took NRNB.
     
    #350

  11. Gazman982

    Gazman982 Active Member

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    I heard today Santini will miss Cheltenham however not sure how solid the info is.
     
    #351
  12. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    You haven't been nobbling down at Seven Barrows at the weekend have you Boris?
     
    #352
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  13. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    No need, Santini has no chance of winning the RSA, might win the Aintree novice chase.
     
    #353
  14. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    I'd have had him in the four miler then campaign him next season for a Grand National bid.
     
    #354
  15. Grade One

    Grade One Well-Known Member

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    In the Mares Novices Hurdle I like Elusive Belle

    Trained by Nicky Henderson she will be suited by a true gallop

    Each Way @ 16-1 [Paddy Power] Non Runner No Bet
     
    #355
  16. Grendel

    Grendel Well-Known Member

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    Don't get too cocky Eddie. Your Gold Cup horse is headed for the Ryanair I hear. :emoticon-0138-think
     
    #356
  17. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    Yeah? Im sure you got on at 25s when it was a foal.

    I dont fancy anything for the Gold Cup, never have done, thought Road To Respect was value. Delta Work and BVD have been my main fancies for months. Barely watched a jump race this season.
     
    #357
  18. Grendel

    Grendel Well-Known Member

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    The Oddschecker data for the RSA is useless. Almost every horse is reported as contracting in price in a sea of blue, while virtually nothing is on the drift.

    The value is scandalous. Sporting Bet, for example, go 2/1, 11/4 and 10/3 on the first three in the betting. That's 83% of the book right there, meaning that if you backed all three horses you would break even if Delta Work wins, make 75p on a £3 outlay if Santini wins and a whopping profit by £1.33 on £3 invested if Topofthegame lands the spoils. That is a BEST case scenario of having bet 4/9 your money on the three combined.
     
    #358
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  19. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    please log in to view this image

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    #359
  20. Grendel

    Grendel Well-Known Member

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    Gee whiz Eddie, I was only pulling your leg.
     
    #360

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