I have no problem with the three points for a win, one point for a draw, etc. It's fair and it works. However the common saying "the table doesn't lie" I do take exception to. It doesn't really say which team is the strongest at the moment. If you beat a team in the middle of a long slump you get the same points as if you beat a team on a 20 game unbeaten run. So I wanted to devise a system that gives a better "current strength". To start the year out I set the winner of last season to 200pts. And for each position down I subtracted 10 pts... So 2nd started on 190, third on 180. All newly promoted teams start on 20 points. So teams start like this Man City 200 Man Utd 190 Spurs 180 Liverpool 170 Chelsea 160 Arsenal 150 Burnley 140 Everton 130 Leicester 120 Newcastle 110 Crystal Palace 100 Bourn 90 WHU 80 Watford 70 BHA 60 Soton 50 Hud 40 Wolves 20 Cardiff 20 Fulham 20 Now, each round I propose the following scoring system. If you win you add 20% of the value of the team you beat to your own strength... Beating a tough team gives you more points than a weak team. So beating City round 1 would give you 40 points. Beat a team by 3 or more goals and you add 25% of that teams tally to your own. In case of a draw you add 10% of your opponents score to your own. Lose and you get no points. Lose by 3 or more and you lose 10% of your own value. In addition each round teams decay by 1/19th of the value from the previous round (19 = number of games in half a season). This will make older results less and less influential on total score as time goes by. There weren't really any major surprise results in round one so positions haven't changed much from last season... But the current strongest team league (rounded) looks like this. MC. 219 MU 204 Spurs 193 Liv 179 Chelsea 162 Ars 142 Burn 138 Ever 125 LC 114 Nuke 104 CP 99 Bourn 89 Watford 82 Whu 68 BHA 57 Soton 53 Hud 42 Wolves 32 Card 19 Fulham 19 Very little change this week but the team that were expected to win did more or less. I'll probably get bored of updating this after a few weeks ...
Not trying to replace it... Just show which team is currently having the better recent results. The league table show who had best results all season. This shows which teams are the strongest based on recent results.
I don't which is why I didn't do this year's ago... It's an idea which has been on my mind for years. A better way of measuring form other than last 5 games. But implementation didn't take long. 10 mins to write procedures in Excel. 10 mins to enter data first time. Will take5 mins to enter data after each round in future if I do it.
What if you beat a team 2-0 and they are both own goals? There are lots of other variables too like penalty wrongly awarded or legit goal disallowed. Keep this going though and I will feel like a genius if I manage to crack the code
@#Milk , why start the tab!e off based on last season's standings, if every club starts this season on 0 your table updates will be up to date and show current team strength. Like for example Man U are 2nd but they conceded a goal and were lucky in the end to come away with the points.
I felt it had to start somewhere. City beating Arsenal was more of an accomplishment than someone beating Fulham. Couldn't start on 0 though... Beating someone on zero points with this formula would give you zero points. Could have started everyone on 100 though.
Yeah... I know, not foolproof but it has to be objective and has to be something that didn't take me more than 5 mins to plug in the values for a round.
