1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

The Scenarios for safety

Discussion in 'Norwich City' started by carrabuh, May 8, 2013.

  1. carrabuh

    carrabuh Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    373
    We will be safe on completion of the next league games if

    1. We win and Villa lose
    2. We draw and Wigan lose
    3. We win and Wigan draw


    The only scenario where we win and not be safe is if both Wigan and Villa win


    Fixtures are

    Aston Villa V Chelsea
    Arsenal V Wigan
    Norwich V West Brom

    Other possibilities for almost safety

    We win, Villa draw, Wigan win
    We win and Newcastle lose will give us at least a 3 goal difference advantage going into the last game
     
    #1
  2. Bath-Canary

    Bath-Canary Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 18, 2011
    Messages:
    3,065
    Likes Received:
    373
    Is number 4 worked out on goal differences?
     
    #2
  3. carrabuh

    carrabuh Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    373
    Yeah, it shouldn't be on there because we could get stuffed by Man City
     
    #3
  4. carrabuh

    carrabuh Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    373
    I better change it before everyone else sees!!
     
    #4
  5. royalbarclayfan

    royalbarclayfan Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    6,005
    Likes Received:
    1,077
    Too late, several everyone else´s have seen ;)
     
    #5
  6. carrabuh

    carrabuh Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    373
    Darn, now you know why I never write articles!!
     
    #6

  7. canary_max

    canary_max Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    5,659
    Likes Received:
    45
    L'arse will need to beat Wigan to secure top 4 and also chelski vs vile
     
    #7
  8. carrabuh

    carrabuh Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    373
    We really dodged a bullet with that Swansea win last night.

    It is such as shame we conceded against Villa at the end, our chances of survival would have been massively improved.
     
    #8
  9. NCFC Dorset Branch

    NCFC Dorset Branch Active Member

    Joined:
    Aug 21, 2011
    Messages:
    682
    Likes Received:
    95
    Big question is, is a draw a good or bad result?
     
    #9
  10. royalbarclayfan

    royalbarclayfan Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    6,005
    Likes Received:
    1,077
    <laugh> but very encouraging to see you writing of safety and City in the same sentence <ok> OTBC
     
    #10
  11. carrabuh

    carrabuh Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    373
    That is highly dependent on results elsewhere, nobody is going to be moaning (even me) if we draw and Wigan lose.

    I'd probably take a draw if offered.
     
    #11
  12. Rubik's Tube

    Rubik's Tube Member

    Joined:
    May 31, 2011
    Messages:
    649
    Likes Received:
    3
    If we draw it will be a ridiculously exciting few days football;
    Saturday- FA cup final (and villa)
    Sunday- NCFC vs WBA (and others)
    Monday- Youth cup final
    Tuesday- Arsenal vs wigan

    The only one I will actually enjoy will be Monday night, every other day is too important for our future!
     
    #12
  13. carrabuh

    carrabuh Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    373
    I understand Wigan were all over the place defensively last night, lets hope Arsenal are hungry for goals and absolutely hammer them.
     
    #13
  14. Goldeneye175

    Goldeneye175 Active Member

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2011
    Messages:
    1,230
    Likes Received:
    4
    If we end up requiring GD difference to save us, we will go down as Man City always spank us 5-1, so -4 should be added onto our current tally
     
    #14
  15. carrabuh

    carrabuh Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    373
    I don't think we'll get spanked, it could well be the first game a 10-0-0 formation is played
     
    #15
  16. RiverEndRick

    RiverEndRick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    17,539
    Likes Received:
    9,165
    I wrote this on the Relegation Watch thread, but it's relevant here as well:

    Good that Spurs drew 2-2 at Chelsea tonight, who can secure their CL place if they win at Villa on Saturday. Similarly Spurs need a win at Stoke and Arsenal need to beat Wigan at the Emirates as they battle for the final CL place. In other words, they all have good motivation to win their matches, whereas ManCity have already qualified for the CL and have a Cup final as well as their final two matches, so will at least have a fatigue factor and no meaningful motivation. Spurs play Sunderland at home on the final day and Arsenal play at Newcastle. Hopefully Wigan will be down before that, but if not, it could help City.

    The possibilities seem endless at times!
     
    #16
  17. carrabuh

    carrabuh Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    373
    I think come Thursday morning (or after whenever Wigan play) we will be safe.

    Providing we do our bit, the fixture list is being kind to us.
     
    #17
  18. Northamptonncfc

    Northamptonncfc Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2011
    Messages:
    3,199
    Likes Received:
    113
    Good post, clear and to the point Carrabuh.

    It's all based on Wigan's games in my opinion. Arsenal are playing for that Champions League spot which should motivate them they are on form too, but I've seen them bottle must win games up before and you can certainly count on Wigan to battle on their life. Perhaps if Villa are uncertain going into that last game of the season against Villa could potentially help.

    We need to do the business I don't care how but we need to do it. I said months ago that I didn't want a Fulham situation and we're close enough to one at the moment.
     
    #18
  19. BillyNCFC

    BillyNCFC Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2011
    Messages:
    1,363
    Likes Received:
    28
    Lets just beat West brom and see how the dust settles instead of getting carried away with ourselves
     
    #19
  20. Canary Rob

    Canary Rob Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 10, 2011
    Messages:
    11,904
    Likes Received:
    4,147
    Yeah, they were shocking - the injuries to the back line have clearly taken their toll. It wasn't just silly individual errors like misplaced passes, it was their positioning too. Swansea looked effortless in attack. Trouble is they'll probably have a stormer against Arsenal...

    My main concern is that West Brom will definitely want that eighth spot and with Man U at home for Fergie's last game, I can't imagine they're banking on that one, so we may well be in with a big fight. By all accounts they did not deserve to lose to Wigan at all.
     
    #20

Share This Page