I was a tad surprised when Michu said on MOTD last night that Swansea were only looking at getting to the 40 point mark. It made me wonder if the mythical 40 is in fact a requirement this season. There are a number of ‘predictors’ around. For example the BBC one where you can be your very own Lawro and by filling in results find out the final League places (and points). A computer generated one compiled by the betting outfit, Sporting Index, currently predicts the following: please log in to view this image By expressing the ‘odds’ in the ‘buy’ and ‘sell’ stock market terms they show the variable accuracy of their model. So anything above 38 points should be safe this year. But then again, like any market assessment it is a gamble. PS I guess Michu was right - Swansea still need a point!
Thanks for this Cottager. I've not looked it up, but from memory 38pts is usually enough for 17th place, although 38pts generally cuts it pretty fine and isn't always good enough. I think the 40pts figure is the one managers bandy around as it leaves a little more margin for error. Teams have gone down with 40pts, but it's very rare. If the predictor (and recent history) is right, we're looking at three more wins to stay up. Does anyone seriously think we're going to fall short of that? We're not home and hosed by a long way, but I'm still not worrying about it.
