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Lies and statistics.

Discussion in 'Norwich City' started by JKCanary, Feb 17, 2015.

  1. JKCanary

    JKCanary Guest

    Oroight bors?

    Further shirking my self-appointed responsibility of keeping the 'RickyWatch' thread stats up to date, here's some simple comparative stats for you all!

    I tried faffing with table code, but couldn't get it to work, so here's the table in the form of an attached image.

    Note: I've included the Bournemouth game with AN's figures (pg = per game).
    Stats.JPG

    Cheers
    JK
     
    #1
  2. JKCanary

    JKCanary Guest

    Just noticed I missed the % symbol off the bottom row of the 'Blocked' column. Meh.
     
    #2
  3. THURNBY YELLOW

    THURNBY YELLOW Well-Known Member

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    So Neil is doing better than Adams (which we knew) I'm not too sure what else we can read into this JK. Things like shots blocked are a bit too anorak based for me, sorry!
     
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  4. JKCanary

    JKCanary Guest

    I'll give you it is mostly reaffirming that Neil is doing 'better' than Adams, but there's other stuff:
    • (significantly) less shots per game than under Adams = hints at a more methodical/patient style,
    • More shots going on target (and less off target and blocked) = couple with improved goals per game, suggests players are waiting for the right opportunities to shoot,
    • conceding less shots = more disciplined
     
    #4
  5. THURNBY YELLOW

    THURNBY YELLOW Well-Known Member

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    Forgive me, I did not intend to sound rude by my first comment and I appreciate the clarification above JK. That does make a bit more sense now and can be summarised as more relevant.
     
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  6. JKCanary

    JKCanary Guest

    I don't think you were being rude at all, Thurnby. You were quite right in stating that the main intention of the figures is simply to highlight that the team has been performing better than under Adams.
     
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  7. SUPERNORWICH 23

    SUPERNORWICH 23 SUPERNORWICH

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    N A had pretty impressive stats in his first 7 games too until he hit the skids , I guess we will be able to compare better after Alex has had 20 games.
    5 wins and a draw from 7 is pretty bloody good & less wasted opportunities .
     
    #7
  8. THURNBY YELLOW

    THURNBY YELLOW Well-Known Member

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    ..........and long may it continue JK! The next three games will be season defining I reckon.
     
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  9. Bath-Canary

    Bath-Canary Well-Known Member

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    I think the most interesting thing there is that the number of shat we have per game has lowered but the accuracy has improved. That would imply that were creating fewer but better chances.
     
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  10. FleetCanary

    FleetCanary Active Member

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    Our 'shat' has definitely lowered under Alex Neil!:1980_boogie_down:
     
    #10
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  11. RiverEndRick

    RiverEndRick Well-Known Member

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  12. Bath-Canary

    Bath-Canary Well-Known Member

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    Awkward, I meant "shots".
     
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  13. RiverEndRick

    RiverEndRick Well-Known Member

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    I think we all knew that really, Bath. :emoticon-0105-wink:
     
    #13
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  14. goldeneadie

    goldeneadie Well-Known Member

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    I didn't, I took it as read. Football definitely needs more shag.
     
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  15. JKCanary

    JKCanary Guest

    Oroight bors?

    I'm back, with more pointless statistical guesswork.

    In order to work out which of the promotion hopefuls has the hardest run-in, I assigned 'difficulty' values of between 1 and 8 to all of the top 8's remaining fixtures.
    So for example, an away fixture against Derby gets the hardest rating of 8, and a home tie against Blackpool gets the lowest of 1.

    This is what my faffing comes back with (highest number = most difficult run-in):
    Bourn'th 54
    Norwich 54
    Brentford 55
    Derby 57
    Watford 58
    'Boro 63
    Wolves 67
    Ipswich 73

    It ain't perfect I know (and there are probably better scales that people could come up with than 1-8), but still, gives an idea of how the run-ins look on paper.
     
    #15
    Last edited by a moderator: Feb 27, 2015
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  16. THURNBY YELLOW

    THURNBY YELLOW Well-Known Member

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    Having teased you before JK earlier in this thread, I do like this angle very much. If your analysis is even close to being correct then the final table will be very tight indeed. It is proving to be a very interesting season with an exciting finale to come.
     
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  17. JKCanary

    JKCanary Guest

    Feel free to tease away, Thurnby. Just to explain how I went about it, I first assigned all 48 potential ties a value before I even looked at each team's remaining fixtures (in the interest of fairness).
    Like I said, it's not a perfect system, but I think it gives a rough idea of how tough some of the teams have it.
     
    #17
  18. RiverEndRick

    RiverEndRick Well-Known Member

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    I also think it's a useful way to assess the situation, JK. I'm assuming the level of difficulty follows the relative league position of each team. Much better than just saying that a team looks to have a tough run-in. I had thought that Boro had the toughest run-in, but now it looks like dear old Ipswich. Shame really! <laugh>
     
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  19. Cruyff's Turn

    Cruyff's Turn Well-Known Member

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    Yes,I would say that should work. A sound methodology.
     
    #19
  20. FleetCanary

    FleetCanary Active Member

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    So, just out of interest, would Blackpool away rate as 2?
     
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