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Appraise selections/results

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by Ardent1965, Nov 2, 2011.

  1. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    02/11/2011
    Sollim 2nd - (-4pts)
    Sarrsar 2nd - (-2pts)
    Laaheb NP - (-2pts)

    Total (-8pts)
     
    #1
  2. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    The selections need to be recorded before the races Ardent for the system to be proven.

    <ok>
     
    #2
  3. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

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    I think they were Ron, on the daily thread.
     
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  4. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    APPRAISE SELECTIONS 03/11/2011

    2.00 Musselburgh &#8211; Ballycolin &#8211; 4pts win
    7.00 Wolverhampton - Evens and Odds &#8211; 4pts win
     
    #4
  5. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    APPRAISE

    I was never a great advocate of systems in the past, in some ways I always thought it removed the human element of assessing form. Actually to a certain extent it does, although if you devise the system yourself you&#8217;re probably putting a lot of your own personal criteria into it anyway, so I&#8217;m looking at it from a swings and roundabout angle in terms of that.

    Anyway I&#8217;ll cut to the chase, having researched my own system over a long period of time I believe the system I call APPRAISE can show long term profits.

    I have been piloting the system privately for a long period of time now and am willing to take the risk of sharing my selections on a daily basis for those who wish to follow the progress. I have never posted any APPRAISE selections in the past.

    It takes some work to get results and this will be the first time I&#8217;ve gone into the public domain with this project. I&#8217;m confident however that with this approach I can show some profit.

    Processed APPRAISE selections and staking plan will be posted on the daily thread and I will post November results at SP as a fair way of determining profit / loss.

    I will however continue to invest in the traditional methods of assessing form this is not the Holy Grail for me&#8230;. if it turns up a fair few winners good&#8230;. if not you cant knock a trier! Well some might but what the hell&#8230;

    APPRAISE selections for today:-
    2.20 Chepstow &#8211; Sollim &#8211; about 11/10 4pts win
    2.30 Nottingham &#8211; Sarrsar &#8211; about 9/4 2pts win
    6.40 Kempton &#8211; Laaheb &#8211; about 5/4 2pts win
     
    #5
  6. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Sorry, I didn't see them there. I've copied them over for completeness.
     
    #6
  7. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    APPRAISE SELECTIONS 02/11/2011
    Sollim 2nd - (-4pts)
    Sarrsar 2nd - (-2pts)
    Laaheb NP - (-2pts)

    Total (-8pts)

    APPRAISE SELECTIONS 03/11/2011

    2.00 Musselburgh &#8211; Ballycolin &#8211; 4pts win 1st 11/4 (+11 Pts)

    7.00 Wolverhampton - Evens and Odds &#8211; 4pts win (-4 pts)

    Running Total (-1Pt)
     
    #7
  8. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Nice winner today Ardent <ok>
     
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  9. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    cheers RV
     
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  10. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

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    Good winner today Ardent, pleased you are off the mark.

    I had a funny thought that should you prove to have a viable system we will all be full of praise for you and then go and spoil all your time consuming hard work by lumping on and spoiling any price and prospect of showing a profit.
     
    #10

  11. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    So far so good Ardent. 1 winner from 5 and only 1 point down. Can't be bad. Good luck with your next 5.
     
    #11
  12. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    04/11/2011
    APPRAISE Selection

    FRITH Hexham 4.10 2.5pts Win
     
    #12
  13. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    Frith unplaced 3/1fav

    Running total -3.5pts
     
    #13
  14. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    5/11/2011
    APPRAISE SYSTEM SELECTIONS
    Principal Role 3pts win 2.35 Doncaster 9/4 Bet365 Paddy Power dont expect that to last
    Our Jonathan 3pts win 3.40 Doncaster 7/2 Bet365 Boylesport

    Both selections beaten running total (-9.5pts)
     
    #14
  15. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    6/11/2011 No APPRAISE selections today.
     
    #15
  16. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    07/11/2011
    APPRAISE selections
    2.5 pts win Sarando 2.55 Carlisle
     
    #16
  17. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Good luck Arden. You aren't alone on this one:


    Timeform's View

    Timeform Daily: Monday, Carlisle 14:55
    Timeform run the rule over an intriguing three-mile Betfair Graduation Chase at Carlisle...

    Camden George hs registered just a single win in 29 starts over jumps, and that came back in February 2009. Ran respectably when third in a veteran's chase at Aintree on return last month, but this looks too competitive.

    Fortysecond Street has been largely below form since landing novice chase at Doncaster (19f) in March 2010, but back to best to win 25f handicap at Hexham on final run for Howard Johnson. More needed on debut for new yard now.

    Sarando landed a 2½m novice chase at Plumpton in January, and much improved in defeat when chasing home Quito de La Roque in 25f Grade 2 novice at Aintree in April. Big chance if repeating that effort.

    Aikman is a point winner who progressed well over hurdles last season, and showed himself as good as ever when scoring on return. Jumped well over inadequate 2m on chase bow here, and will do much better.

    Cross Kennon has been progressive over hurdles in last 2 seasons, and ended last term with excellent fourth in World Hurdle. Also successful between the flags in his youth, so ought to make transition to fences.

    Honest John is a Grade 2 bumper winner, and best effort over hurdles came when a wide-margin winner at Southwell in February 2010. Below form at Aintree on final start, but not ruled out if ready to go after an absence.

    Timeform 1-2-3:

    1. Sarando

    2. Aikman

    3. Cross Kennon

    Timeform View: Cross Kennon is a fascinating recruit to fences after finishing fourth in the World Hurdle, but preference is for those with proven form in this sphere, and Sarando gets the nod after his Aintree second was franked at the weekend. Aikman is next best, and not underestimated.
     

    Attached Files:

    #17
  18. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Nice one Ardent. W7/2 (SP)
     
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  19. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    Cheers Ron massive price for such proven form.
     
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  20. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    Sarando 1st 7/2 2.5pts win (+8.75pts)

    Running total (-0.75)
     
    #20

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