What's the difference between bizarre and very unlikely. Aussies should post 600 and think to have a go late tomorrow at England. England need to bat then for 2 days to catch that meaning only one day left. Aussies would need to go for 100 runs in that case. And yes England could skittle 9 wickets for 100 runs tomorrow morning but that would also be bizarre.
Was probably a bit hasty with my response there. I'd been listening to TalkSport in the car where everyone seemed to have thrown in the towel already. Its not even 25% into the test yet. The first innings for the first team to bet represents 25% of the game. As you said, a bizarre display tomorrow and the Aussies somehow get bowled out by lunch and it could well be game on. Very unlikely but its certainly not game over. Hell, the draw is probably the most likely of outcomes anyway.
If they get 600 that will be 40% of test. Then if England get 400 they can bat agressively and put england in with a day left and 400 to get. In other words not possible. The track is flat, good for batting and there is no swing. The bowlers are merely serving up fodder to be waited on until it's a hittable ball.
Aussies could crumble to 450 all out and England put up 600 putting the Aussies under pressure in the 2nd innings. Won't happen though Aussies to put up a minimum of 550........so much depends on Englands 1st innings response
If they did go for 450 and England get 600 that you put us on day 4 there's not time when big scores come for the other side to do much. England need to bat well to get a draw.
We won't win, all that can happen now is we don't crumble to lose it. Aussies will get 500 and we just need to make sure we bat for 2 days so not enough time left in the game for them to bowl is out again. Not it being negative, but very rarely would you see a team at 370-2 on the first innings and lose a game