I can't understand these odds. Unless it's just the bookies making sure they can't lose. Burnley and QPR are 100-1 on to go down understandably. Sunderland are 6-4 on to be relegated which is understandable. You would then think that the remaining clubs would be nearly 6-4 against combined to be relegated BUT City are next favourites to be relegated at 5-1 with Newcastle 11-2 and Leicester 13-2 Aston Villa are next at 20-1
That's right - the bookies have Burnley and QPR as down - this leaves 1 club left to be relegated. If you look at the percentage chance they give the other clubs of going down it stands as this: Sunderland - 55% chance City - 20% chance Newcastle - 18% chance Leicester - 15.5% Villa - 5% chance 100% is breaking even - anything over is the bookies profit. With that market they're making £13 for every £100 invested
The percentage odds are not calculated like you say. For example the City odds of 5-1 are calculated as 1 to go down against 6 (5+1) in total. That's 1/6x100%= 16.67 This makes the percentages as Sunderland 60% City 17% Newcastle 15% Leicester 13% Villa 5% Total £110 for every £100 invested: profit of £10 for £100 invested That seems more reasonable than what I was thinking: Sunderland likely but only 60% and the rest very unlikely Having said that Sunderland and ourselves have some difficult matches to play
True - I'm too used to Australian odds which are quoted including your stake (ie 4-1 is $5) If sunderland beat Leicester I think it's us or Leicester for the drop personally - admittedly that's a big if
Two penalties and against 10 men Sunderland were gifted 3 points yesterday whether the penalties were justified or not. They are now back in it and Newcastle have also been drawn back into the mix too. 5-1 are very generous odds for us imo.
Unfortunately I agree with you. 5-1 seems over the odds and looks the best value bet of all the odds.....
Considering who we have to play and the fact that Burnley most certainly cannot be taken for granted as they will come with nothing to lose (as they will already be relegated) all guns blazing determined to take us down with them, then I am not too confident.
Yes but if that person believes when they have what they call "big money" as they normally bet small amounts and they have money on their own team they usually loose the bet that's what I'm hoping...
Looks like us or Sunderland - we have tough games and are better than our position suggests , i think we will know how this will pan out after the Burnley game
If Sunderland are beaten away to Everton then they're really going to struggle. I can see Leicester turning them over and I cannot seeing them getting anything against Arsenal and Chelsea. I think though we need 3 more points to be certain. Burnley a must win game.
I was hoping Man U would beat West Brom last night to keep the Baggies on 37 pts. That would have ensured they travelled to Newcastle next week needing the 3 pts (their last 2 games are tough). Now they're on 40 pts and safe it takes the pressure off and may give Newcastle an easier fixture.
It's like reverse psychology, I never win my bets so if I bet on the opposition city will win. The best example of this was arsenal away first time in premier league, they were unbeaten at the Emirates, I put on honestly around £300 quids worth of bets, arsenal half time full time, arsenal over two, three, four etc. My logic was this would pay for my extended weekend in London when we lost. Well we beat them of course, I spent about seven hundred quid in two days, and could not stop laughing and smiling those were heady days indeed..
