ElTigre-HCAFC asked for it so I made it. Perhaps I am a crazy person, this seems like a lot of work looking at it now. Yes crasyness isnt spelled that way, it was supposed to be ironic. Here are predictions for HCAFC, Sunderland, QPR, CP, Burnley, and Leicester up to the end of March. I could do more if anyone wants me to. These predictions are not dependent on each other, meaning I did each separately without referencing what I predicted before. I thought best to have an open mind with each team and see where it goes. Others on here are far better at this type of thing than me. If anyone is passionate that I am clearly off on a prediction I can change it. Based off the low prediction end up to the end of March Sunderland 29-35 points HCAFC 24-33 points QPR 22-28 points CP 20-30 points Burnley 19-22 points Leicester 17-21 points Based off the high prediction end up to the end of March Sunderland 35-29 HCAFC 33-24 CP 30-20 QPR 28-22 Burnley 22-19 Leicester 21-17
Leicester Currently 10 points from 16 games, with a -12 goal differential. Its hard to see Leicester getting out of the bottom 3 by the end of March. They have a really hard schedule ahead. They really have been playing better than their record but at the end of the day, they are going to need to really step up to get points out of these fixtures and I dont see them doing it. And may I say that our 2 games are key here not just to their total but ours as well. December Projection 0 points, 10 points from 20 games and 20th place. Reason, well geeze thats a hard schedule. Only real chance is against us and that is an away game to an HCAFC that will be desperate to win. West Ham away Spurs at home HCAFC away Liverpool away January Projection 3-4 points, 13-14 points from 23 games and 20th place. This is their first real chance to really win. I see them picking up 1 win but not 2 they could easily get 1 win and a draw here. Villa home Stoke home Man U away February Projection 3-4 points, 16-18 points from 27 games and in the bottom 3. Palace is at home so that’s a good chance for a win. I’m going to give them a possibility of a draw in there since I think they could do it. Palace home Arsenal away Everton away Chelsea home February Projection 1-3 points, 17-21 points from 30 games and 20th place. Another hard month for them. They play us at home which is their best chance for points. They might lose to us, draw or win. I think they probably lose since our fixtures leading up to this really should have given us points and momentum while theirs at this point should be doing the opposite. Still I dont see them losing both games against us so I am going to say that this one is at least a draw for them. Man City away HCAFC home Spurs away
QPR Currently 14 points from 16 games, with a -13 goal differential. QPR have a bunch of games they can get points out of by the end of March. I dont see them being in the bottom 3 come the end of it but it will be really close for sure. The key for me is if they toss the bank at Dafoe in January. December Projection 3-4 points, 17-18 points from 19 games and between 17-18th place. Reason, West Brom and CP are both at home for them giving them the edge in both games. One win and 1 draw are not unrealistic in that situation. West Brom home Arsenal away CP home January Projection 4-6 points, 21-24 points from 23 games and out of the bottom 3. Swansea is a home game, and both Burnley and Stoke are winnable although both are away games for them. I could easily see them getting 1 win and a draw or 2 wins total from those fixtures. Swansea home Burnley away Man U home Stoke away February Projection 1-3 points, 22-27 points from 26 games and out of the bottom 3. Sunderland and us are their best chances at points but both are away games. I think that they will lose at least one of those 2 games but I dont see them losing both. Southampton home Sunderland away HCAFC away Spurs home March Projection 0-1 point, 22-28 points from 29 games and possibly 18th place but most likely out of the bottom 3. CP is their most winnable game but that is an away game. They will probably leave March with no points but they might pick up a draw. Arsenal home CP away Everton home
Burnley Currently 15 points from 16 games, with a -13 goal differential. Burnley are in trouble. They might not be 20th place but they have a chance to be at the end of March although 19th is where I have them. There are 2 months where they should pick up 0 points and they have a lot of really hard fixtures most of which are away so I doubt we see lots of upsets. December Projection 0 points, 15 points from 19 games and 19th place. Reason: No winnable games and everyone else has points to pick up in December. Their current point total will keep them out of 20th place. Spurs away Liverpool home Man City away January Projection 3-4 points, 18-19 points from 23 games and in the bottom 3. 3 good chances for points in these fixtures, with both QPR and CP being home games. I see them losing 1 and I dont see them winning 2. I think 1 win and 1 draw is their best outcome. Newcastle away QPR home CP home Sunderland away February Projection 1-3 points, 19-22 points from 27 games and in the bottom 3. West Brom is their best chance although Swansea is at home so they got a slight chance there. I certainly dont see them winning 2 games and I cant see them not losing at least 1 game to eithe West Brom or Swansea. West Brom home Man U away Chelsea away Swansea home March Projection 0 points, 19-22 points from 30 games and either 19 or 20th place. There isnt even a winnable game in March for them, probably not even a game they can draw in. Liverpool away Man City home Southampton away
HCAFC The greatest team in the history of mankind, womankind or alienkind. That said. Currently 13 points from 16 games, with a -8 goal differential which is a better goal differential than a few teams near us. It will be hard but I do see us with a really good chance at being out of the bottom 3 with a little room to spare by the end of March. December Projection 4-6 points, between 17-19 points from 19 games and out of the bottom 3. Reason: Swansea and Leicester are at home both are possible wins but I doubt we get 2 wins, much more probable just 1 win but its possible we pick up 1 draw and a win. Sunderland is winnable but a draw is possible but I dont see us not losing at least 1 game in December. I think 2 wins is an outside chance with 1 win and 1 draw being the most probable. Swansea home Sunderland away Leicester home January Projection 1-4 points, 18-23 points from 23 games and there is a chance we are just in the bottom 3. Hard month to call here, the Wests are both away games for us and thats a problem, Everton havent been on their game this season. All that means there is a chance for a win in those 3 games and certainly a chance for a draw in there to. I could see as little as 1 draw and as much as a draw and a win. Everton home West Brom away West Ham away Newcastle home February Projection 4-6 points, 22-29 points from 27 games and out of the bottom 3. Villa and QPR are home 2 games that are winnable with Stoke being away but also winnable. I cant see us not winning a game or losing at least 1 game but I cant see us losing 2 games. Man City away Villa home QPR home Stoke away March Projection 2-4 points, 24-33 points from 30 games and out of the bottom 3. March is looking good. Sunderland and Leicester are both winnable games. Leicester is an away game though. I could see everything from 2 draws to 1 win and a draw to 1 win and a loss, but I dont see 1 draw and a loss nor do I see 2 losses. I also doubt we win both games, as you know, we like to make it hard on ourselves. Sunderland home Leicster away Chelsea home
Sunderland Currently 16 points from 16 games, with a -10 goal differential. Should be fine without to much trouble really. December Projection 3-4 points, between 19-20 points from 19 games and no where near the bottom 3. Newcastle is away so im saying thats a loss no matter their rivalry. Villa and us are their best chances. I cant see them losing 2 nor winning 2 nor not winning at least 1 game. Newcastle away Hull home Villa away January Projection 3 points, 22-23 points from 23 games and not in the bottom 3. Burnley at home is a win. I dont see any other points there for them. Man City away Liverpool home Spurs away Burnley home February Projection 4-6 points, 26-29 points from 27 games and not in the bottom 3. 3 games here to get points out of. I dont see them not losing at least 1 of those, so lets say 1 win and a draw up to 2 wins. Swansea away QPR home West Brom home Man U away March Projection 3-6 points, 29-35 points from 30 games and not in the bottom 3. I think that with us being away that a reasonable guess from these fixtures is up to 2 wins here, but probably 1 win and a draw would be the safe guess. Hull away Villa home West Ham away
CP Currently 15 points from 16 games, with a -5 goal differential. They have a nice goal differential. I find this team to be really hard to predict. They have lots of winnable games but lots of them are away games. They could be easily safe or in real trouble come the end of March. December Projection 0-3 points, between 15-18 points from 19 games and they will fall into the bottom 3 this month. Hard month for them with their best chance at points as an away game. Anything could happen that game. Man City away Southampton home QPR away January Projection 3-6 points, 18-24 points from 23 games and probably not in the bottom 3. Villa and Burnley are away games but they could easily get 2 wins there. One certainly would think they will win at least 1 game. Plus Everton isnt that good this season and thats a home game, so there could be a draw in there to. Villa away Spurs home Burnley away Everton home February Projection 1-3 points, 19-27 points from 27 games and they are probably in the bottom 3. Hard month with their best chance being an away game and West Ham also being away. It could easily be 1 draw, 2 draws or 1 win but I dont see them winning 2 games out of this bunch. Leicester away Newcastle home Arsenal home West ham away March Projection 1-3 points, 20-30 points from 30 games and probably in the bottom 3. Stoke is away so thats hard but QPR is at home. I dont see them losing all of these but I dont see them winning more than 1 either. Southampton away QPR home Stoke away
ellewoods, As a supplement to your predictions, I am convinced every home win and every away win will end 2-1 and 1-2 respectively. I hesitate to speculate on the scores for the games that end in draws.
Not really sure you can say with any certainty that Burnley are in trouble considering they just beat Southampton and are fourth on the form table over the last six games...
Their future fixtures are beyond difficult with only a few possible wins and most of those games being away games. Its easy to say they are in real trouble. The form table isn't the best thing to look at when it comes to projecting future games as what matters is who you played and who you are going to play and look at their future fixtures. It's the fixture list from hell. Also their points total in comparison to the other teams around them matter, everyone is looking to pick up more points then them over the next few months.
Sure, but my point is that their trend suggests they've begun to click and may start to pick up points that their position wouldn't suggest they would, due to their poor start.
Every team has ups and downs. The trend is without context, having watched their games it was mainly due to luck not great play. Luck ends and when they go up against Liverpool and man city twice, Man U, Chelsea, Spurs sweansea and a Southampton that will be back for blood that trend is going to look like a distant memory.
ive not checked the stats to back it up but i think from memory the trend is that - regardless how the first half of the season goes , the second half tends to revert to normal expectations , with far fewer shocks and upsets . Bigger teams that struggled till xmas often claw their way up the table and teams regarded as weaker , but flying high in the winter often plummet . My point ? feck knows
All well and good but everyone knows the xmas fixtures produce bonkers results just down to the fact that most teams play 4 games in 8 days. Add into the mix the January transfer window, Pulis replacing one of the sacked Managers from your list above, and season ending injuries to key players, and it becomes slightly less obvious. As long as we stick with Bruce though, we should be fine.
I just figured that the farther out I go the less likely I would be right so I stopped at the end of March rather than the full season.
I said in there that I thought the most probably outcome for us this month was 1 win and 1 draw and that I did not see us beating both Leicester and Swansea so as far as I am concerned the prediction for us is still on target.
