Those good old hard working jam rolls. Booked my flight and got my Visa for Wuhan China leaving 28th Nov. true story
Typical bookie - bent as a nine bob note. Have you back-tested my system yet? I expect the algos at bet123 have already been changed.
You put some formulae in an excel spreadsheet then call yourself a programmer? Nah, useful information I'm sure if I could read it. What I'm about is exploiting the holes in your primitive algorithms. You cannot/have not been able to model every situation to your advantage.
Yes I love Excel sheets, they are an incredibly powerful tool - they let you visualise your models and their outputs before you commit them to code. And no, it's not 100% accurate, but I chuck 8% margin on the odds I serve to customers, and on those margins over a sample of 10,000,000 bets I made about 7% profit, which leaves a 1% inefficiency. To make money with 8% chucked on top of the probabilities you need to beat the model by about 9% efficiency. This game is easy
11 Nov 14 / 21:39 Bet Winnings Crawley v Gillingham – Gillingham @ 7/1 + £1.60 O/5118760/0000584/F 11 Nov 14 / 21:20 Stake Gresley FC v Loughborough Dynamo FC – Draw @ 7/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000585/F 11 Nov 14 / 21:13 Stake Bristol City v Wimbledon – Wimbledon @ 15/2 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000583/F 11 Nov 14 / 21:13 Stake Crawley v Gillingham – Gillingham @ 7/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000584/F 10 Nov 14 / 20:34 Stake 1860 Munich v Fortuna Dusseldorf – 1860 Munich @ 11/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000582/F 10 Nov 14 / 19:22 Bet Winnings Gr. Furth Amat. v Tsv Buchbach – Draw @ 10/1 + £2.20 O/5118760/0000580/F 10 Nov 14 / 19:11 Stake Atromitos v Asteras Tripolis – Draw @ 33/1 - £0.10 O/5118760/0000581/F 10 Nov 14 / 19:11 Stake Gr. Furth Amat. v Tsv Buchbach – Draw @ 10/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000580/F 09 Nov 14 / 20:55 Bet Winnings Nublense v Cobresal – Cobresal @ 13/2 + £1.50 O/5118760/0000576/F 09 Nov 14 / 20:49 Bet Winnings Sport Boys v Blooming – Draw @ 16/5 + £1.26 O/5118760/0000577/F 09 Nov 14 / 20:24 Stake Nublense v Cobresal – Cobresal @ 13/2 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000576/F 09 Nov 14 / 20:24 Stake Sport Boys v Blooming – Draw @ 16/5 - £0.30 O/5118760/0000577/F 09 Nov 14 / 20:24 Stake Figueirense v Chapecoense – Draw @ 4/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000578/F 09 Nov 14 / 20:24 Stake Gremio v Internacional – Draw @ 9/2 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000579/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:58 Stake Nordsjaelland v FC Copenhagen – FC Copenhagen @ 17/2 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000573/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:58 Stake Univ. de Concepcion v Palestino – Draw @ 16/5 - £0.30 O/5118760/0000574/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:58 Stake Hapoel Raanana v Hapoel Tel Aviv – Draw @ 11/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000575/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:55 Bet Winnings Toluca v Club America – Draw @ 16/5 + £1.26 O/5118760/0000570/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:49 Bet Winnings FK Senica v Slovan Bratislava – FK Senica @ 17/5 + £1.32 O/5118760/0000565/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:49 Bet Winnings FK Senica v Slovan Bratislava – FK Senica @ 9/2 + £1.10 O/5118760/0000572/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:33 Stake Mogi Mirim v Paysandu – Draw @ 4/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000569/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:33 Stake Toluca v Club America – Draw @ 16/5 - £0.30 O/5118760/0000570/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:33 Stake Concordia Chiajna v Steaua Bucharest – Draw @ 17/2 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000571/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:33 Stake FK Senica v Slovan Bratislava – FK Senica @ 9/2 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000572/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:31 Stake Sporting Lisbon v Pacos Ferreira – Pacos Ferreira @ 15/2 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000568/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:31 Stake Valencia v Athletic Bilbao – Athletic Bilbao @ 15/2 - £0.10 O/5118760/0000567/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:28 Bet Winnings PAOK Salonika v Panathinaikos – Panathinaikos @ 9/2 + £1.10 O/5118760/0000562/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:24 Stake FK Senica v Slovan Bratislava – FK Senica @ 17/5 - £0.30 O/5118760/0000565/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:24 Stake Concordia Chiajna v Steaua Bucharest – Draw @ 7/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000566/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:16 Bet Winnings Malmo v Elfsborg – Draw @ 13/5 + £0.36 O/5118760/0000559/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:01 Stake Diosgyori v Nyiregyhaza Spartacus – Nyiregyhaza Spartacus @ 12/1 - £0.10 O/5118760/0000563/F 09 Nov 14 / 19:01 Stake Dynamo Kiev v Karpaty – Karpaty @ 16/1 - £0.10 O/5118760/0000564/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:55 Stake PAOK Salonika v Panathinaikos – Panathinaikos @ 9/2 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000562/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:55 Bet Winnings Tuttocuoio v Pontedera – Tuttocuoio @ 18/1 + £1.90 O/5118760/0000558/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:54 Stake Racing Santander v Mallorca – Draw @ 6/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000561/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:47 Stake Club Marino Luanco v Real Aviles – Club Marino Luanco @ 29/10 - £0.30 O/5118760/0000560/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:46 Stake Tuttocuoio v Pontedera – Tuttocuoio @ 18/1 - £0.10 O/5118760/0000558/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:46 Stake Malmo v Elfsborg – Draw @ 13/5 - £0.10 O/5118760/0000559/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:43 Stake Buyuksehir v Besiktas – Draw @ 9/2 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000557/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:43 Stake Fiorentina v Napoli – Draw @ 5/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000556/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:27 Bet Winnings Denizlispor v Adanaspor – Denizlispor @ 12/1 + £2.60 O/5118760/0000555/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:14 Stake Denizlispor v Adanaspor – Denizlispor @ 12/1 - £0.20 O/5118760/0000555/F 09 Nov 14 / 18:13 Stake Borussia Dortmund v Borussia M'gladbach – Draw @ 11/1 - £0.10 O/5118760/0000554/F I make that 32 bets at mostly 20p stake for a £10 profit. £6.20 staked £16.20 returns. Average stake - 19.375p Average return - 50.625p Approx 261% return per bet You've all seen Back to the Future 2 or was it 3...
20p on PSG Birds to get a winner at Lyon Birds @ 8-1 The other thing I've started doing is using my vast knowledge of international test cricket to make money. Pakistan have got a whole day to take 2 NZ wickets for another £11 in the kitty. Would have been very surprised if NZ had put up any sort of contest given Pak just blew Aus away. They blew Eng away too in Abu Dhabi which at the time seemed a disaster. Presumably they are earning good money out of the arabs which is maybe causing them to play to their full potential i.e. not taking bribes to throw their wickets. Just a theory. Do your algorithms account for a lack of bribes Mike? Bangladesh looking good to earn me another £6 too ... a momentum game.
you was taking a huge risk on Gillingham - they were 0-1 and had a man sent off and had not won for 11 games
That's the whole point: big odds, 1 goal needed and not long to go. Anything can happen in those last 20 minutes and the odds are there to be exploited. Mike's looking for 9%, I'm getting 261%.
I may be stating the obvious here, but if your system is so successful, why not increase your stakes?
Can I also point out that if you compare this to financial markets, when everything is pointing upwards and everyone is filling their boots buying into the bull market, that is exactly the right time to be selling: Warren Buffett (worth a few bob).
Because I've only got £46.80 in my account. I will follow the system and gradually increase the stakes as the pot increases. Plus: I only discovered this fool proof gauranteed path to riches on Sunday night when I was bored. Needs to be proven over time.
