OT: Mafia game thread starts Sunday 8pm 14/9/14

whether he's lying or not, Danilo's report tells you I'm still the Doctor

 

As MITO just accidentally given us a clue there

 

Their link-up is weird- but it seems more one way... AFC latching onto Bod rather than the other way round.

So if Bod and AFC are innocent: 3 out of
Nozzer, IBWT, Astro, Minxy and Billy are guilty.

Why not make it a 5 way toin coss between them! 3/5 chance Mafia hit... they wouldn't like that!

 

More minxy than you but why for both

 

Why? If they are having an influence on the votes (which they were by driving my name forward) why wouldn't they do it? They've already succeeded in isolating me and my fellow townies (and fellow Reds I might add) seem only too quick to believe them rather than me. From where I'm sitting it looks like a spectacularly good tactic. If I was Don I'd want a couple of Rotties out there doing my dirty work for me

 

I think he said all along that the converted person would be regular Mafia.

 

I'm innocent.

If only you hadn't brought up that stupid rule about screenshots...

 

Doctor effect can also come again after vigilante right?

 

table at 14:30


[table="width: 500, class: grid, align: left"]
[tr]
[td]Vote:[/td]
[td]no of votes[/td]
[td]By:[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]billy[/td]
[td]2[/td]
[td]afcftw,ibwt[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]milk[/td]
[td]2[/td]
[td]nozzer, minxy[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]danilo[/td]
[td]1[/td]
[td]sky[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]astro[/td]
[td]1[/td]
[td]billy[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]minxy[/td]
[td]2[/td]
[td]astro,gerrez[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]ibwt[/td]
[td]1[/td]
[td]milk[/td]
[/tr]
[/table]

Not voted: danilo , bodanki,

 

Yeah, I'd agree with that. I did pre-warn AFC ages ago about that too

there is no reason for you ruling out AFC there though other than he's latched onto a innocent person. Makes no sense to rule him out for that. I suspect AFC is innocent purely based on his behaviour throughout the game though

 

But the implication is that they weren't regular before. May not mean that though.

 

yes.

though moot at this point in this game. consider it like the doctor goes to visit a mate and finds said mate having being shot and saves them.

 

Also regarding Astro, IBWT, Nozzer, and Minxy- Astro is the only one not protesting the obvious logic.

 

I'm happy with my vote since she's voting for Milk, who as been declared innocent by Danilo. Nozzer claims to have placed a "revenge vote" so it will be interesting to see what he does too

 

Yeah, but nobody questioned it so there was no need to say it

 

On that basis, if we say that your five each have a 60% chance of being guilty and the others have 0% (simplified, but essentially what you're implying), then with current votes as a three-way between Billy, Miny and yourself, there's a 40% chance of hitting a mafia (60% + 60% + 0%). Would we take those odds?

 

Nozzer, why not take your vote off me (since you known, unless I was converted last night I'm innocent) - and place it on IBWT, someone who has a 60% chance of being Mafia before the last night fall?

 

To be honest, Milk's the one acting most suspicious in my mind at the moment. Which makes it a bit of a problem for me to buy into his theory. I certainly dont think he's as unlikely to be have been converted as he makes out. And we don't know for sure he wasn't covered by the snitch (although we also don't know what the chances of that were). I'm quite up for changing in light of new events, but no-one else really seems to be acting in a way that warrants me putting my vote on them instead.

Based on milk's plan, it would however make most sense for me to switch to Astro or IBWT, as then that person would be in a three way with Billy or Minxy.

 

If I was mafia and needed to convert someone, I'd pick someone woh experience on the game and who other people listen to..
Milk has just as much chance of being a concert as the rest I think. We assume one of danilo or sky are because it's obvious choice but the sons not been obvious, that's my only thing...?

 

Why not Astro? Of the two, he's the one I'd more likely go for to be honest.