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Where are the points coming from? Update

Discussion in 'Wycombe' started by Ron, Mar 2, 2014.

  1. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    These are our remaining games

    Capture.JPG

    Try to predict where the points will be won. 3 points for correct result, double points for correct score. Bonus 5 points for getting the correct number of points as shown in the final League 2 table.


    League situation as at 5th March 2014

    Capture.JPG
     
    #1
  2. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    I've gone first so you can copy and paste the matches and just amend the scores as required

    Sat 8 Mar Hartlepool Home 1-1 1,1
    Tue 11 Mar Plymouth Home 1-3 0,1
    Sat 15 Mar York Away 0-1 3,4
    Tue 18 Mar Cheltenham Away 0-1 3,7
    Sat 22 Mar Rochdale Home 0-3 0,7
    Tue 25 Mar Burton Away 2-1 0,7
    Sat 29 Mar S****horpe Away 3-0 0,7
    Sat 5 Apr Dag & Red Home 1-1 1,8
    Sat 12 Apr Newport Away 1-1 1,9
    Fri 18 Apr Northampton Home 3-0 3,12
    Mon 21 Apr Fleetwood Away 2-1 0,12
    Sat 26 Apr Bristol Rovers Home 2-1 3,15
    Sat 3 May Torquay Away 2-0 0,15

    Total points at finish 53
     
    #2
  3. josewwfc

    josewwfc Well-Known Member

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    why do I get a feeling im going to look back at this in 2 months and have scored nothing <laugh>

    Sat 8 Mar Hartlepool Home 2-1 3,3
    Tue 11 Mar Plymouth Home 0-2 0,3
    Sat 15 Mar York Away 1-1 1,4
    Tue 18 Mar Cheltenham Away 1-2 3,7
    Sat 22 Mar Rochdale Home 0-1 0,7
    Tue 25 Mar Burton Away 1-1 1,8
    Sat 29 Mar S****horpe Away 3-1 0,8
    Sat 5 Apr Dag & Red Home 2-0 3,11
    Sat 12 Apr Newport Away 2-1 0,11
    Fri 18 Apr Northampton Home 2-3 0,11
    Mon 21 Apr Fleetwood Away 0-1 3,14
    Sat 26 Apr Bristol Rovers Home 2-1 3,17
    Sat 3 May Torquay Away 2-1 0,17

    Total points at finish 55
     
    #3
  4. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Are you sure that doesn't make 58 points Jose. Maybe you meant the Scunthorpe score to be 3-1?
     
    #4
  5. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    I'd like to take that **** out of Scunthorpe. May take a leaf out of brb's book and call them Skunthorpe.
     
    #5
  6. josewwfc

    josewwfc Well-Known Member

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    yeh, I meant for it to be a 3-1 defeat, but of course I hope im wrong!!! and I think calling them skunthorpe is the wayforward!
     
    #6
  7. Guywanderer

    Guywanderer Well-Known Member

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    My call is we finish with 55pts but I'm not saying how we are going to get them:emoticon-0112-wonde
     
    #7
  8. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    No bonus points then Guy <laugh>
     
    #8
  9. Guywanderer

    Guywanderer Well-Known Member

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    It would be the kiss of death Ron
     
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  10. Guywanderer

    Guywanderer Well-Known Member

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    If we are sat on 50pts this time in two weeks time I'll have a go at the rest<ok>
     
    #10

  11. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Fat chance Guy. That requires 4 straight wins, involving Hartlepool, Plymouth, York and Cheltenham. If we achieve that we could almost start to celebrate
     
    #11
  12. canary-blue17

    canary-blue17 Member

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    I'm rubbish at predicting Wycombe games, so maybe I should put defeats for all of them??

    Sat 8 Mar Hartlepool Home 1-0 3,3
    Tue 11 Mar Plymouth Home 1-1 1,4
    Sat 15 Mar York Away 1-1 1,5
    Tue 18 Mar Cheltenham Away 2-1 3,5
    Sat 22 Mar Rochdale Home 1-0 3,8
    Tue 25 Mar Burton Away 2-1 0,8
    Sat 29 Mar S****horpe Away 2-0 0,8
    Sat 5 Apr Dag & Red Home 1-0 3,11
    Sat 12 Apr Newport Away 1-2 3,14
    Fri 18 Apr Northampton Home 1-2 0,14
    Mon 21 Apr Fleetwood Away 0-1 0,17
    Sat 26 Apr Bristol Rovers Home 1-1 1,18
    Sat 3 May Torquay Away 3-0 0,18

    Thats 18pts gained. I'll settle for that.
    Total 56 points and safety.
     
    #12
  13. philhythe

    philhythe Well-Known Member

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    Sat 8 Mar Hartlepool Home 1-0 3,3
    Tue 11 Mar Plymouth Home 0-2 0,3
    Sat 15 Mar York Away 1-1 1,4
    Tue 18 Mar Cheltenham Away 1-2 3,7
    Sat 22 Mar Rochdale Home 1-2 0,7
    Tue 25 Mar Burton Away 2-1 0,7
    Sat 29 Mar S****horpe Away 3-1 0,7
    Sat 5 Apr Dag & Red Home 1-1 1,8
    Sat 12 Apr Newport Away 0-1 3,11
    Fri 18 Apr Northampton Home 2-2 1,12
    Mon 21 Apr Fleetwood Away 2-0 0,12
    Sat 26 Apr Bristol Rovers Home 2-0 3,15
    Sat 3 May Torquay Away 0-2 3,18

    Thats 18pts which should do us
     
    #13
  14. josewwfc

    josewwfc Well-Known Member

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    to put things into perspective, heres how many points have been required to stay up previously

    12/13 - 51
    11/12 - 45
    10/11 - 48
    09/10 - 45
    08/09 - 42 (technically it was lower but luton had a 30 point deduction)

    basically 50 points should do it!
     
    #14
  15. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    If 50 points is the target we need 8 more points from 9 games. That would leave:

    Torquay needing 14 points from 9 games
    Northampton needing 12 points from 9 games
    Exeter needing 9 points from 9 games
    Portsmouth needing 8 points from 9 games
    Bristol R needing 8 points from 10 games
    Bury needing 14 points from 9 games
    Mansfield needing 7 points from 9 games
    Wimbledon & Accrington needing 6 points from 9 games

    Looking at the current form table, if we assume that each team will continue their current form in terms of points per game the above teams will end up as follows (all points rounded up):

    56 Bristol R
    55 Mansfield
    55 Accrington
    54 Wycombe
    53 Wimbledon
    52 Northampton
    52 Bury
    51 Portsmouth
    47 Torquay
    44 Exeter

    If we continue at the same rate as our last 6 games (ie finish on 54 points but all other teams manage to clock up at the rate of the most in form of the above (Northampton with 1.5 points per game) the table would end up as:

    58 Accrington
    58 Wimbledon
    57 Bristol R
    57 Mansfield
    57 Bury
    56 Portsmouth
    55 Exeter
    54 Wycombe
    52 Northampton
    50 Torquay


    All academic I know; it's very unlikely that so many teams could average 1.5 points per game but if they averaged 1 point per game the table would look like this:

    53 Accrington
    53 Wimbledon
    52 Bristol R
    52 Mansfield
    52 Bury
    51 Wycombe
    51 Portsmouth
    50 Exeter
    47 Northampton
    45 Torquay

    I haven't looked to see which teams are playing each other but we have only 3 of them to play. If we can beat those we should be safe.
     
    #15
  16. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Since this game started Wycombe have picked up 4 points. This is how many points we thought we would have picked up:

    Ron 7
    Jose 3
    Canary 5
    Phil 7
     
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  17. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    2 games on we still have 4 points on the board

    This is how many points we thought we would have picked up:

    Ron 7
    Jose 3
    Canary 8
    Phil 7
     
    #17
  18. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    As at 26th March, 2 games later

    Exeter, Mansfield, Wimbledon & Accrington look home and dried

    Wycombe, Portsmouth and Torquay have made no progress
     
    #18
  19. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    After yesterday's games, as there are only 4 of us, here are the individual scores:

    WWPoints 20140406A.JPG WWPoints 20140406B.JPG

    The Difference Column shows how Wycombe are progressing compared to our predictions. A minus indicates they are doing worse than predicted


    To summarise:

    Canary and Jose both predicted we would have 3 more points at this stage
    Phil and Ron both predicted we would be where we are in terms of points achieved

    In terms of the game, Jose leads the way with 18 points having correctly predicted two scorelines
     
    #19
  20. josewwfc

    josewwfc Well-Known Member

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    surprised by how well my predictions are going!
     
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