I think we'll score - there is a 74% chance we'll score in fact. [TABLE="width: 831"] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD="align: right"]0[/TD] [TD="align: right"]1[/TD] [TD="align: right"]2[/TD] [TD="align: right"]3[/TD] [TD="align: right"]4[/TD] [TD="align: right"]5[/TD] [TD="align: right"]6[/TD] [TD="align: right"]7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: right"]0[/TD] [TD="align: right"]8.04596%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]10.74619%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]7.17630%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]3.19489%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]1.06677%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.28496%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.06343%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.01210%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: right"]1[/TD] [TD="align: right"]9.52964%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]12.72778%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]8.49961%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]3.78403%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]1.26349%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.33750%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.07513%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.01433%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: right"]2[/TD] [TD="align: right"]5.64345%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]7.53739%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]5.03347%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]2.24090%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.74824%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.19987%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.04449%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00849%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: right"]3[/TD] [TD="align: right"]2.22803%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]2.97576%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]1.98721%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.88471%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.29540%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.07891%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.01756%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00335%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: right"]4[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.65972%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.88112%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.58841%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.26196%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.08747%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.02336%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00520%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00099%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: right"]5[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.15627%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.20872%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.13938%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.06205%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.02072%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00553%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00123%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00024%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: right"]6[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.03085%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.04120%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.02751%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.01225%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00409%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00109%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00024%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00005%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: right"]7[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00522%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00697%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00466%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00207%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00069%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00018%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00004%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00001%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: right"]8[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00077%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00103%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00069%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00031%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00010%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00003%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00001%[/TD] [TD="align: right"]0.00000%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Above in red is all the score lines that will put us out in 90 minutes, based on total average goals of 2.52 and 53% of them going to Celtic (industry standard compilation for this match). The sum of all reds is 13.68% chance of Elfsborg winning in 90 minutes. With an 9.52% of it finishing 1-0 and going to Extra-Time, there will probably (best guess) be about a 48% chance of Elfsborg going through at that stage. 13.68% + (9.52% * 48%) = 18.24% chance of Elfsborg qualifying. 18.24% = just under 9/2 Elfsborg to go through, 2/9 Celtic to go through. Too much free time on my hands
I'm a karate man. Karate man bruise on the inside but you wouldn't know that cos you a big Barry White lookin motherfucker.
Forster; Lustig, Ambrose, Wilson, Izaguirre; Forrest, Brown, Ledley, Mulgrew; Commons; Samaras Subs: Zaluska, Matthews, Stokes, Balde, Mouyokolo, Watt, Kayal
Every loose ball these feckers are picking them up. Mon tae **** Sellick - just pass the ba' tae another Sellick player!!
