Shergars shoo in tomorrow is FILS ANGES in the 2.40 Nottingham! He won his maiden impressively over the course and distance last season on good to soft ground, the same conditions he will encounter tommorow, and he caught the eye when 2nd last time out at Yarmouth on seasonal reappearance. He was coming to win the race making good progress when a gap up the rails was blocked off. He still ran on to get 2nd once he finally got a clear run. He's off the same mark here of 85, so is clearly well ahead of the handicapper. 7 of 11 is a favourable draw at Nottingham, and Micheal Bell had a winner and a 2nd yesterday so his horses appear to be in good form. So everything is in place for him to get off the mark this season.
We will see Bob, I do think Secret Missile will be capable of winning a race off 80, but I'm not convinced it will be tommorow. It's his debut run of the season, and of the few runners William Muir has had so far, they haven't exactly been firing. Not to mention the horse has never run on turf. I just think he'll have his work cut out to beat Fils Anges who has already proved he is in good nick this year, and should come on from that run
Yeah I've backed Secret Missile as well. Think he's the sort of horse who will improve tremendously between 2 and 3 and I expect him to win a fair few races this year. Wouldn't surprise me if he ends up in the mid 90s
Lionheart looks good to go in the 3.30 at 8/1. Handicap debut and a good winter should see a nice improvement from this one....
Just had a sick hand for anyone that plays poker. Ive got kings, and all the cash gets in pre flop for a £70 pot, he turns over aces. Im thinking standard, on the wrong end of a cooler again. Flop 7A7. turn 7. river 7. Split pot hahaa
And as they enter the final furlong it's Sir Graham Wade still in front but Testosterone is coming late. Ryan Moore is getting extremely animated and Testosterone's all over the place. Has he got up?
4:40 Nottingham CURL 12/1 should really make a much better 3YO filly than she did 2 Y O (by Duke Of Marmalade) and she looks potentially very nicely treated off 68. I'd expect to see her on a mark in the 80s come the season end, so will be interesting to see if she is fit to do justice tomorrow- Dods started well at Newcastle on Saturday so fingers crossed. Backable price- can't see that lasting.
That is an awful short price at 6-4 shergs although she should have won well last week. I also must say I can not see why Secret Missile should reverse a 4 1/2 length defeat to Moviesta who is the horse that really interests me in this race, and I feel 6-1 is very generous. This horse beat Secret Missile going away by 4 1/2 lengths on it's last start and Secret Missile has only a 3lb pull today. The horse that beat Moviesta in his previous race to that was getting 5lb from himand did in turn beat him 4 lengths, that horse however has since been placed in a listed race, won a Group 3 and then came 4th in the Group 2 Rockfell, beaten 3 lengths. She is now rated 99. At the currently available odds of Fils Angs 6-4, Moviesta 6-1, Secret Missile 13-2 I would have to be on the side of Moviesta who I think may go off at half those odds. I will say that I expect all three of those horses to win from their current mark and that this race is strong for a class four, I would imagine the form will be worth something in the weeks to come. Two for me tomorrow Nottingham 2.40 Moviesta 6-1 3.10 Humidor 11-4
I'm opposing you in the 4-40 at Notts Toppy, with Dark Ocean 25-1 BET365 currently. He ran 4 times last year without troubling the judge, but ran pretty well each time. His last run at Newcastle in early October, was arguably his best effort, finishing third, beaten 1 length in toal ridden by Glee. 7f that day and running on strongly, I had been waiting for him to come out again, but they had him gelded, presumably to calm him down a bit, and put into winter storage. There's a chance to be taken on fitness I guess, but at 25-1 ew, he can't be ignored
It was Secret Missile's debut and Moviesta's 3rd start Blue so clearly that was a significant factor in the distance. Also, Secret Missile is definitely a horse that Muir took his time with and he progressed with every start. Furthermore, he's definitely the sort of horse who was always going to make a better 3 year old and I think he's going to have a fine season. Granted, he may not turn around the form with Moviesta and I couldn't put anyone off backing that one but I just feel Secret Missile has that little bit more scope.
Magical Kingdom 7:30 Kempton 13/8 - Botti has a good strike rate when he takes one to the course and i fully expect this one to win tomorrow with Kirby on board.
Interesting that connections have opted for a handicap for SINGERSONGWRITER's seasonal debut (4.40 Notts). She also holds an entry for a Conditions race at Kempton this weekend, as well as entries in the Guineas and Oaks.
I think its a bit strange if its a prep for a Guineas or Oaks PN? Won cosily on debut but only from average opposition, hence the handicap mark of just 78.
I don't know if any of the rest of you like a golf bet, but I like to have an interest one on the Masters. WillHill and Stan James are both going 16/1 about Phil Mickelson which I believe to be far to big a price, for a player that has such a good record round Augusta, he's rarely out of contention and has won it 3 times. Just to highlight how good a player he is round Augusta, he's played 48 rounds there and his stroke average is 70.54 which is the best in the field, of those that have played at the Masters multiple times. Tiger Woods has also played 48 rounds and his stroke average is below Mickelsons on 70.63. In the last 3 tournaments he's entered this season he's had an encouraging 3rd place, and a 16th place finish, so his game is coming to the boil at the right time. Il be amazed if the 16/1 lasts very long, some company's like BetVictor are only offering 10s, whilst Paddy Power, Boylesports and BetFred are only offering 11s. Worth a few quid EW at 16/1 as your likely to get a good run for your money, going by past performances
Morning team. I see that that old official assessor has left Sprinter Sacre on 188 following his Aintree romp. Meanwhile, Aurora’s Encore raised 11 pounds after his GN win. Not overly excessive that given how he routed the field and certainly gives him future options. I enjoy a hack round my local course Shergy, old boy, from time to time but I always find the hole where you have to get the ball underneath the rotating windmill blades most difficult. I’m hoping that Sir Tiger Woods returns to full form and gets to wear another green jacket. Nothing for me today but its going to be interesting to see how Mr Henderson’s filly, Earth Amber, gets on in the Listed heat at Notters this afternoon. My main interest gee-gee wise this morn though is seeing whether or not the Pipe’s Military Precision is declared to run tomorrow at Fonters Park. Good luck, people.
I do see your point ROTO with regard Secret Missile as he has clearly improved since he's debut for sure. I think all the three mentioned will be winning soon enough, it's going to be an interesting race to watch.
