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Discussion in 'Watford' started by Resurgam, Feb 17, 2013.

  1. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    The questions has to be asked Dan......did you score? <laugh>
     
    #21
  2. babyhornetdan

    babyhornetdan Well-Known Member

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    As freely as Watford this season. :emoticon-0103-cool::smiley-finger007:


    Hahaha. Im sorry, but that also had to be said. Im not usually so crude.:emoticon-0131-angel
     
    #22
  3. J T Bodbo

    J T Bodbo Well-Known Member

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    To get back to the point.
    WFC are averaging 2 points a game since about game 14. 22 over last 10. Apart from Cardiff, none of the others around us are that consistent. So, 28 points from remaining 14 games is reasonable. i.e. 84. Whether we are 1st, 2nd 3rd or 4th with 84 I've no idea.
    Interestingly, the other 2 teams with best form over last 10 games are Cardiff (23) points, and Sheff Wed (21 points).
    One other point.
    WFC seem very comfortable playing the ball from the back - so I think we will not get nervous as it gets more tense. Thids will be a good thing. Our last 2 games could be fun ! (Foxes away and the disgrace that is leeds at home).
    The only issue I have is when almunia throws the ball out and we are immediately under pressure. Does he do it to keep the defence on their toes, or
    does he think he's still at Arsenal ?
     
    #23
  4. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    Is your keeper yours or is he on loan to you?
     
    #24
  5. J T Bodbo

    J T Bodbo Well-Known Member

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    Ours - all ours ! I know it makes a change.
     
    #25
  6. babyhornetdan

    babyhornetdan Well-Known Member

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    He is ours till the end of the season. He signed a one year deal in the summer. He is one of 4/5 players who need to be offered deals.
     
    #26
  7. Bolton's Boots

    Bolton's Boots Well-Known Member

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    Or be replaced. Rumour has it that Udinese are signing Buffon from Juventus in order to send him here on loan.;)
     
    #27
  8. babyhornetdan

    babyhornetdan Well-Known Member

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    I would love that. But if its not true then I think we could end up in a bit of trouble. Top quality keepers dont grow on trees.
     
    #28
  9. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    We have a couple of young keeper who have not let us down in the PL, when they have played, but sadly, I can't see their future at Carrow Road. A loan could well be beneficial to them
     
    #29
  10. Leo

    Leo Well-Known Member

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    Maestro - next season come to a game against either Ipswich or Norwich depending on which division we are in :)

    Your support would be diametrically opposite
     
    #30

  11. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    Is it your treat?
     
    #31
  12. Leo

    Leo Well-Known Member

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    It could be :)
     
    #32
  13. Mexican Hornet

    Mexican Hornet Well-Known Member

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    Bodbo..are we going up automatically? Surely you have a formula to work that one out.
     
    #33
  14. Mexican Hornet

    Mexican Hornet Well-Known Member

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    Ipswich V Watford Tue 19 Feb 19:45

    Watford V Derby Sat 23 Feb 15:00

    March 2013

    Wolves V Watford Fri 1 Mar 19:45

    Watford V Sheff Wed Tue 5 Mar 19:45

    Watford V Blackpool Sat 9 Mar 15:00

    Barnsley V Watford Sat 16 Mar 15:00

    Watford V Burnley Fri 29 Mar 15:00

    April 2013
    Hull V Watford Mon 1 Apr 15:00

    Watford V Cardiff Sat 6 Apr 17:20

    Peterborough V Watford Sat 13 Apr 15:00

    Millwall V Watford Tue 16 Apr 19:45

    Watford V Blackburn Sat 20 Apr 15:00

    Leicester V Watford Sat 27 Apr 15:00

    May 2013

    Watford V Leeds United Sat 4 May 12:45
     
    #34
  15. J T Bodbo

    J T Bodbo Well-Known Member

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    Well of course I do -but hadn't calculated it until now.
    Based on the form over last 10 games of each of the top 6 clubs, extrapolated to the season end we would get...
    Cardiff 101.5
    WFC 86.8 (not 84, as we are 22 from last 10 = 2.2 )
    Hull 84.2
    Foxes 80.2
    Pal'se 73.2
    boro 62.6

    If it was that simple, then following the game wouldn't be much fun, but it keeps me cheerful.
    Now, I also believe the following (esp. having been at City ground and St. Andrews) ...
    1) Our squad is stronger in performance terms for having made no changes in January.
    2) Our defence is improving every game (in theory we had a complete 2nd string back 3 yesterday, which looked pretty comfortable)
    3) If every team lost its top scorer , we would have the divisions = top scorer (Deeney/Nugent)

    Oh what the hell - if we finish above Foxes we'll be 2nd.
    There. will that do ?
     
    #35
  16. Hornette_TID

    Hornette_TID Well-Known Member
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    1. two.
    2. yes
    3. no
    4. yes
    5. yep
     
    #36
  17. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    Ipswich V Watford Tue 19 Feb 19:45 3pts

    Watford V Derby Sat 23 Feb 15:00 3 pts

    March 2013

    Wolves V Watford Fri 1 Mar 19:45 3 pts

    Watford V Sheff Wed Tue 5 Mar 19:45 1 pt

    Watford V Blackpool Sat 9 Mar 15:00 1 pt

    Barnsley V Watford Sat 16 Mar 15:00 3 pts

    Watford V Burnley Fri 29 Mar 15:00 3 pts

    April 2013
    Hull V Watford Mon 1 Apr 15:00 1 pt

    Watford V Cardiff Sat 6 Apr 17:20 1 pt

    Peterborough V Watford Sat 13 Apr 15:00 3 pts

    Millwall V Watford Tue 16 Apr 19:45 3 pts

    Watford V Blackburn Sat 20 Apr 15:00 3 pts

    Leicester V Watford Sat 27 Apr 15:00 1 pt (although I really do hope you get all 3)

    May 2013

    Watford V Leeds United Sat 4 May 12:45 3 pts


    That's what I think you might get from these games.
    I really think you will get stronger towards the end of the season , and I can't see you losing another game.
    Dropping a few points yes, but not losing any.
    I hope that would be enough to get you up there.

    I have tried to do this objectionally, apart from the Ipshit game <laugh>
     
    #37
  18. Mexican Hornet

    Mexican Hornet Well-Known Member

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    Statistics have a much more important role to anything than I'll give them credit for. Thanks for working this out, it is good to know !! :)
     
    #38
  19. J T Bodbo

    J T Bodbo Well-Known Member

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    And another thing !
    Our goals conceded is steadily dropping. After 10 games it was 1.8. It is now 1.31, and this has occurred quite steadily. In fact, ignoring the first 10 games, it is now 1.09 per game. Although several teams around us (most actually!) have a better record in that dept., because we are improving, and our goal scoring is much better, it means we are more likely to win games. Which is the point of course !
    If I carry on like this I'll be looking up flights to Barcelona for 2014/2015.
     
    #39
  20. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    Have Baadiff started their wobble early this year?
     
    #40

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