Because if he wins like a 1-5 shot I'm sure the bookies will see it as an opportunity to shorten him up further.
Just a couple that interest me tomorrow: 12.40 Don. Handazan 14.50 Don. Parc des princes 16.40 Kem. Purple n Gold 17.40 Kem. Summer sun 13.55 Lud. In the crowd See what prices they are tomorrow but I think if Summer Sun is 12/1 then worth doing and hope she can finally go one better, but my main bet will more than likly be In The Crowd.
Eleven Fifty Nine will be a short price in the 13.10 Donny but should take all the beating. Wandering if Mr Stick has any news from the yard?
That's what i thought stick. I asked because i've been keeping an eye on violet jordans horses and saw she now has al khan which is entered tomorrow(5:10 k). Now i've noted this horse the last few times as being a non tryer(maybe) for the easterby's. So why would they risk losing it in a claimer? Or is the horse just no good?
My reasoning for going for In The Crowd is that Tidal Way looks like being the Fav but these two met here on 15th Nov where TW won by 5 lengths giving 7lbs. Tomorrow ITC is nearly a stone better off so he should be a lot closer or even better in front.
I know that, i mean why would the easterbys risk losing it last time if they were lining it up? did they think no one would claim it for the price when it didn't run well? Been a bit of money for it.
Was intended to run at Chepstow on Saturday but the ground was simply too soft. Confidence is high tomorrow but will be long odds on! GGW; I have faith that your boy will win tomorrow but it will prove nothing and should certainly not be cut for the Festival on the back of winning an egg and spoon race! IMO
I've always noticed that handicappers tend to drop horses marks quicker if they run badly in claimers so I'm guessing thats why they were running him in there. He was claimed for 10k so it was a decent amount of money that was paid out. With regards to Al Khan, he's a horse I've been following since the days he was with Peter Chapple-Hyam and he showed some really lovely form as a 2 year old but seemed completely out of sorts last year, although he did have the odd glimpse. I'd be very surprised if he wasn't good enough to win off this mark but it definitely won't be over 5f. They'll look to get him dropped another 7lb or so to a mark of 65 I'd say before running him in an awful race. If tomorrow is the day I'd be very suprised.
The same reason anyone who backed Simonsig for the Arkle before he won his second start they are LAUGHING !!! They shorten anything that is visually impressive these days. He could race against Georgebernardshaw over fences tmz win by 5 lengths on the bridle and go 7/4
Too true. Bookies will use any excuse to shorten a horse and protect its liability and do so all the time for antepost. Also, a lot of punters place bets very quickly after an impressive performance which justifies a bookie cutting the price (to an extent). If he beats trees and is impressive he'll be shortened.
I'd say 5s come tomorrow if he pisses it (which I do expect him to). I'd say that will be in and around his SP on the day as well.
