4th January 2013 Daily Thread

stick · Jan 4, 2013

Great shout ROTO, naturally ;-)

YouCanCallMeJeff · Jan 4, 2013

Anyone else keep getting a pop up from Not606 about some kind of game? Very annoying..

OddDog · Jan 4, 2013

YouCanCallMeJeff said: ↑

Anyone else keep getting a pop up from Not606 about some kind of game? Very annoying..
Click to expand...

I used to get it all the time Jeff - If you are using Firefox install the adblocker plus add-on - that stops it. I've moved to Windows 7 and Internet Explore 9 and don't have it here (fingers crossed)

ROTO · Jan 4, 2013

ROTO said: ↑

1.50 Lingfield

Ballygarvey 7/1

There has already been a little bit of money around for Philip Hobbs's handicap chasing debutant and it's not hard to see why he has been already backed in from 10/1 as I think he could take an awful lot of beating off a mark of 110. Formerly with Henrietta Knight, this former Irish Point To Point winner showed some very useful form over hurdles and I think this unexposed 7 year old certainly has the potential to score off his mark on what is just his 2nd start over the larger obstacles and 2nd start for his current handler. A winner of his last of 4 starts in P2Ps back in 2010, (no great form) he stepped up really nicely on his 3rd start under rules for Henrietta Knight over hurdles when finishing an 11L 2nd behind the very talented and easy winner Broadbackbob at Newbury over 19f in December 2011. Under Will Kennedy, Ballygarvey got into a really nice rhythm as he made all until the 2nd last before being headed by Broadbackbob but he stayed on resolutely to hold 2nd and finish 8L clear of 3rd. In addition to the winner being a very talented horse who had defeated subsequent Supreme Novice winner Cinders And Ashes on his hurdling debut on his previous start, the horses in behind were very good animals as well. The 3rd Carrigmorna King is now a 134 rated chaser/127 rated hurdler and the 4th Same Difference is now a 137 rated hurdler and it was a really nice effort despite being sent off a 125/1 shot. He proved that was no fluke on his next start over 19f at tomorrow's course in January 2012 when again making all to score a little easier than the 1.75L margin suggests and although the form of that race is only ok and nothing special he beat what was in front of him and that is all you can ask.

Ballygarvey had 3 more starts over hurdles for his former handler between March and April when he was pretty disappointing including when pulled up in a handicap hurdle off a mark of 115 at Plumpton on his last start for Knight but I certainly think he was always going to prove a better chaser. On the back of a 6 month absence, Ballygarvey made his stable and chasing debut at the end of October last year over an extended 2m at Taunton on good ground when set a pretty stiff task in the Novices Chase. Held up in midfield, Ballygarvey was hampered at the first flight and his jumping was a little sticky for the first half of the race but he did warm to the task in what was clearly a spin over fences to both gain some experience and indeed blow away some cobwebs. That race has worked out to be very strong with the 2nd Changing Times winning both his subsequent starts over fences including impressively off a mark of 132 whilst the well beaten 3rd Bally Legend followed Changing Times home in 2nd on his only subsequent start in a handicap off a mark of 129. For that effort, Ballygarvey has been assigned an opening handicap mark of 110 which I think looks potentially quite lenient for this former Point winner based on his hurdling form. Ballygarvey is stepped back up to 2m4f which should certainly suit as well as a return to heavy ground which should allow him more time to get into a rhythm. I also think its very interesting that he returns to the track of his only success as Lingfield is not a track that Philip Hobbs visits very often. In the past 5 seasons, Hobbs has only had 9 runners at the track scoring with 3 of those and he has a 1-2 record with his chasers at Lingfield and this represents his only runner of the day. Although there seems as if a couple of horses in the field like to be prominent, I'm hopeful that Ballygarvey is ridden more positively tomorrow as he certainly seemed more at home from the front over hurdles. Tom O'Brien takes the ride tomorrow on what is his only ride of the day tomorrow and with the ground, track and distance all suiting I'm hopeful that Ballygarvey makes a successful start to handicap chases on just his 2nd start for Philip Hobbs to start of 2013 very nicely.
Click to expand...

Cheers Stick. 25p Rule 4 but absolutely dotted up in the end.

OddDog · Jan 4, 2013

ROTO said: ↑

1.50 Lingfield

Ballygarvey 7/1

There has already been a little bit of money around for Philip Hobbs's handicap chasing debutant and it's not hard to see why he has been already backed in from 10/1 as I think he could take an awful lot of beating off a mark of 110. Formerly with Henrietta Knight, this former Irish Point To Point winner showed some very useful form over hurdles and I think this unexposed 7 year old certainly has the potential to score off his mark on what is just his 2nd start over the larger obstacles and 2nd start for his current handler. A winner of his last of 4 starts in P2Ps back in 2010, (no great form) he stepped up really nicely on his 3rd start under rules for Henrietta Knight over hurdles when finishing an 11L 2nd behind the very talented and easy winner Broadbackbob at Newbury over 19f in December 2011. Under Will Kennedy, Ballygarvey got into a really nice rhythm as he made all until the 2nd last before being headed by Broadbackbob but he stayed on resolutely to hold 2nd and finish 8L clear of 3rd. In addition to the winner being a very talented horse who had defeated subsequent Supreme Novice winner Cinders And Ashes on his hurdling debut on his previous start, the horses in behind were very good animals as well. The 3rd Carrigmorna King is now a 134 rated chaser/127 rated hurdler and the 4th Same Difference is now a 137 rated hurdler and it was a really nice effort despite being sent off a 125/1 shot. He proved that was no fluke on his next start over 19f at tomorrow's course in January 2012 when again making all to score a little easier than the 1.75L margin suggests and although the form of that race is only ok and nothing special he beat what was in front of him and that is all you can ask.

Ballygarvey had 3 more starts over hurdles for his former handler between March and April when he was pretty disappointing including when pulled up in a handicap hurdle off a mark of 115 at Plumpton on his last start for Knight but I certainly think he was always going to prove a better chaser. On the back of a 6 month absence, Ballygarvey made his stable and chasing debut at the end of October last year over an extended 2m at Taunton on good ground when set a pretty stiff task in the Novices Chase. Held up in midfield, Ballygarvey was hampered at the first flight and his jumping was a little sticky for the first half of the race but he did warm to the task in what was clearly a spin over fences to both gain some experience and indeed blow away some cobwebs. That race has worked out to be very strong with the 2nd Changing Times winning both his subsequent starts over fences including impressively off a mark of 132 whilst the well beaten 3rd Bally Legend followed Changing Times home in 2nd on his only subsequent start in a handicap off a mark of 129. For that effort, Ballygarvey has been assigned an opening handicap mark of 110 which I think looks potentially quite lenient for this former Point winner based on his hurdling form. Ballygarvey is stepped back up to 2m4f which should certainly suit as well as a return to heavy ground which should allow him more time to get into a rhythm. I also think its very interesting that he returns to the track of his only success as Lingfield is not a track that Philip Hobbs visits very often. In the past 5 seasons, Hobbs has only had 9 runners at the track scoring with 3 of those and he has a 1-2 record with his chasers at Lingfield and this represents his only runner of the day. Although there seems as if a couple of horses in the field like to be prominent, I'm hopeful that Ballygarvey is ridden more positively tomorrow as he certainly seemed more at home from the front over hurdles. Tom O'Brien takes the ride tomorrow on what is his only ride of the day tomorrow and with the ground, track and distance all suiting I'm hopeful that Ballygarvey makes a successful start to handicap chases on just his 2nd start for Philip Hobbs to start of 2013 very nicely.
Click to expand...

Very well done ROTO

YouCanCallMeJeff · Jan 4, 2013

Cheers Oddy,

Great shout Roto

You'd think if Sydney Padget gets round he'll walk it

Ekbalco99 · Jan 4, 2013

ROTO - top shout once again .. much appreciated by me and the small syndicate we have at work !!

YouCanCallMeJeff · Jan 4, 2013

.... Or not

Sigh, I give up, save my money

stick · Jan 4, 2013

Sunny Ledgend get in....beats the odds on donkey!

Ardent1965 · Jan 4, 2013

A notion that UNCUT STONE will go well in the next at my local gaff.

twistedteapot · Jan 4, 2013

Unlucky Goring Two,,

Bostonbob · Jan 4, 2013

If Pentiffic returns to form he'll walk this. Nap. 4/1

Bostonbob · Jan 4, 2013

I'm Fraam Govan would be my selection in this bumper but not at odds on so just a watching brief albeit with more interest than usual.

Bostonbob · Jan 4, 2013

Bostonbob said: ↑

If Pentiffic returns to form he'll walk this. Nap. 4/1
Click to expand...

Bang

Hope Lucy is okay. That looked a heavy fall about 3 or 4 out.

OddDog · Jan 4, 2013

Bob

King's horse Bobbyjack e/w at Kempton - that Fergie horse is bloody short now

Bostonbob · Jan 4, 2013

cheers Oddy.

1/2 is ridiculous. This will have to be Champion Bumper class to justify this nonsense.

hawkeye · Jan 4, 2013

well done bostonbob, nice shout.

Reebok · Jan 4, 2013

Sunny Ledgend and Pentiffic - both backed by me LTO, both lost

Today, un-backed by me, they both win.

I'm sure there's a message here somewhere

stick · Jan 4, 2013

Bostonbob said: ↑

If Pentiffic returns to form he'll walk this. Nap. 4/1
Click to expand...

A grudging well done Bob

OddDog · Jan 4, 2013

Aaarrghh Choc done on the fecking line

4th January 2013 Daily Thread

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4th January 2013 Daily Thread

stick Bumper King

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