1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

Sunday 4rth November - Daily Thread

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by Black Caviar, Nov 4, 2012.

  1. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2012
    Messages:
    44,227
    Likes Received:
    59,168
    Cork
    1.40 Our Vinnie 4/1
    3.20 Baily Green 9/4

    Leopardstown
    1.25 Cottrell 9/2
    2.00 Ballyorban 7/2
    3.05 Cest Notre Gris 20/1

    Been looking forward to this Eyrefield Stakes since I seen the enties midweek, 3 horses I really like in Cest Notre Gris, Sugar Boy and Orgilgo Bay in one of the most interesting 2yo races of the season, for me anyway. I think Sugar Boy will try to go from the front with Orgilgo Bay tracking him and maybe Imperial Concorde up there in front of Cest Notre Gris, Coolibah and Beyond Thankful will likely be held up and id guess Heffernan will be looking to play Twilight Zone late aswell. They think Sugar Boy might be a cup horse so he should stay alright and I wouldn't worry about the break because after his last run they were always either putting him away for the season or going for this. Orgilgo Bay has the best form in the race, he is rock solid and this is arguably the easiest chance hes had to win a race, he was giving Cest Notre Gris the best part of a stone when beaten at Listowel. Of the others id probably be most worried about Twilight Zone given he is unexposed, looked impressive last time and Obrien's record in the race, I wouldnt be surprised if he went off a strong favourite but this is a big step up from a weakish maiden. Cest Notre Gris has a fair bit to find on the book and will probably be overlooked by most given the weight turn around with Orgilgo Bay but he was well on top at the finish that day and looked much more ready for another furlong than Orgilgo. Hes not going to be coming there on the bridle but hes just a horse ive taken to this season and I like his attitude, it will be hard to make all in this and I think Sugar Boy, Orgilgo Bay and Welds in the first time blinkers might set it up for the closers and make it a real test. He has thrown in a couple of bad runs this season but you can forgive the run last time when the combination of good ground and being out a bit soon after a hard race probably caused him to run a bit below his best, hes a had a longer break this time and the return to soft ground and the step up in trip should suit. Id expect him to be one of the first off the bridle but provided hes still in the race at the 2 pole and it turns into a real testing battle, he is the one I would want to be on and I think hes overpriced at 20/1 considering he has already finished in front of Sugar Boy and Orgilgo Bay this season. Its a hard race to call and I wouldnt be surprised by any of them winning but should be a good race to watch, hopefully get a run for the money at a nice price.
     
    #1
  2. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    13,855
    Likes Received:
    4,830
    A horse I put up as one to follow runs today, Well Regarded, but he isn't a bet today because the yard are still struggling to get winners and the ground is likely to be dodgy at best. One to watch today though.
     
    #2
  3. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2011
    Messages:
    3,638
    Likes Received:
    643
    SEE WHAT HAPPENS (Very appropriate for this forum seen as you know who is back) 1.30 at Carlisle

    wins im told

    stay frosty
     
    #3
  4. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2011
    Messages:
    3,638
    Likes Received:
    643
    Non Runner
     
    #4
  5. Galaxy

    Galaxy Member

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2012
    Messages:
    665
    Likes Received:
    15
    3 faw me today

    RULE THE WORLD - 1.40 Cork

    BAILY GREEN - 3.20 Cork

    Both very smart noviices


    FOR A FINISH - 2.15 Cork grand national

    5lb lower than wen 5th ain this last year
     
    #5
  6. Sir Percy

    Sir Percy Active Member

    Joined:
    Aug 13, 2011
    Messages:
    462
    Likes Received:
    46
    Carlisle 3.10 valley view

    McCoys only ride, that's good enough for me
     
    #6
  7. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    I really hope you are right about it not being suited today Nass as i have pondered over this race as it was one i could immediately get down to 3 runners. I discarded Attaglance as he did not seem to take to fences as well as hurdles last time out which left only Hildisvini and well regarded who were 1st and 2nd last time out. I have now gone for an exact repeat with a good win bet on Hildisvini and a straight forcast with well regarded.
     
    #7
  8. Galaxy

    Galaxy Member

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2012
    Messages:
    665
    Likes Received:
    15
    Aye woulnea worry aboot tha groond faw Well Regarded. His ran sum o his best races on softa goin
     
    #8
  9. Brough Tiger

    Brough Tiger Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    1,245
    Likes Received:
    34
    The 3.20 at cork looks a very interesting race. Baily green has been in incredible form and won his last race very impressively. Sea of thunder looks a very nice prospect and ran well in defeat behind sire collonges at Cheltenham a couple of weeks back. Very tough to split them but I think the penalty that baily green has to carry just tips it in favour of sea of thunder. Should be a very informative race though and one I'm really looking forward to!
     
    #9
  10. Galaxy

    Galaxy Member

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2012
    Messages:
    665
    Likes Received:
    15
    If BG ovacomes tha penallty which ay think he will. it will proov what ah good horse he is
     
    #10

  11. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2011
    Messages:
    8,540
    Likes Received:
    199
    Morning all

    really like A STAR IS BORN as well WLYT full sister to Rip Van Winkle been waiting for this one to run for ages <ok>

    RULE THE WORLD looks a smashing prospect and I like his chances in the 1.40 (Cork) finally UNACCOMPANIED should win the 3.35 at Leopardstown.

    2/1 11/8 and 11/10 not the best prices so doubles and a treble on the 3 <cheers> best of luck all
     
    #11
  12. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    28,402
    Likes Received:
    10,448
    Big day for Mouse Morris at Cork and I've got win singles and a win double on Rule The World (1.40) and Baily Green (3.20). I was mightily impressed by Rule The World on debut at Punchestown, slamming a big field on the bridle, and he looks destined for big things this season. Baily Green goes from strength to strength and is by far the most accomplished of these over fences. I can't have Sea Of Thunder on anything softer than good and with today's ground yielding I think he will struggle, even in receipt of 8lbs.

    Best of luck everyone <ok>
     
    #12
  13. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2011
    Messages:
    8,540
    Likes Received:
    199
    Will yee stop sponging off me man. Howay get your own selections Odddy ;)
     
    #13
  14. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2011
    Messages:
    7,473
    Likes Received:
    1,959
    #14
  15. Brough Tiger

    Brough Tiger Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    1,245
    Likes Received:
    34
    Sea of thunder a non runner :( 5/4 now looks a very attractive price about baily green though!
     
    #15
  16. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2011
    Messages:
    8,540
    Likes Received:
    199
    A Dog is born
     
    #16
  17. Ollie

    Ollie Member

    Joined:
    Jan 18, 2012
    Messages:
    338
    Likes Received:
    1
    Well Regarded for me in the 1:15. Hoping the 7 lb pull will allow it to reverse placings with Hilsdivini.
     
    #17
  18. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2011
    Messages:
    8,540
    Likes Received:
    199
    WAYWARD FROLIC is very interesting. Small bet at 12s
     
    #18
  19. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    28,402
    Likes Received:
    10,448
    Always have my helmet proudly on display - got to set a good example for the kids <ok>
     
    #19
  20. Galaxy

    Galaxy Member

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2012
    Messages:
    665
    Likes Received:
    15

    Fell at tha furst RV
     
    #20

Share This Page