I suspect he'll do better than you think. He does have a history of out-performing expectations here.
Have you seen the HRTs in the speed traps, this has got a karthikeyan win written all over it, with custard 2nd and then Hamilton.
You're welcome! Everyone always cites his 2008 race, and rightly so, but his drive to fourth through all kinds of problems in 2010 always sticks in my memory as the moment he grew up and buried the 'crash kid'.
They usually dump qualifying trim for a better race pace if they believe they have a shot at the podium. This is not the first race they have done this, China was also done like this.