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Monday 23rd July - Daily Thread

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by Galaxy, Jul 22, 2012.

  1. Galaxy

    Galaxy Member

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    5.15 Ayr MIDNIGHT DYNAMO 16/1

    Landed 5f Musselburgh handicap 12 months ago off 2 lb higher mark

    7.00 Beverley TRIPLE EIGHT 33/1

    Becoming well handicapped and took step back in right direction when third at Newcastle (1m) in June

    7.40 Windsor COOL HAND JAKE 33/1

    Three years since last win, but good third to Hurricane Spirit in 1m apprentice event on Kempton return/debut for new yard

    9.00 Beverley SECRET VENUE 16/1

    Haul of 4 wins in 2009 included 3 at Musselburgh and largely performed with credit in 2010, but only seen twice last year. However, showed plenty of ability remains with good third on return.


    Another spanking wee week fa moi and ma supporters with a 25/1 16/1 11/1 5/1 & 3/1 advised plus several large priced placings. Only two weeks on tha board and aim smashing the layers and bookies oot ah sight.


    JOB DONE!!
     
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  2. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    7.30 Beverley

    Mad For Fun 8/1 NAP

    Really like the look of Paul Midgley's 3 year old in this looking contest and I strongly fancy her to land this 16 runner Class 6 event. Although a maiden after 8 starts to date, she's looked to have progressed from 2 to 3 and I think she could take an awful lot of beating off her mark of 52. She started her 2 year old career in a Seller at Redcar when finishing last of 4 and after finishing well down the field on her 2nd start in a maiden she showed her first real piece of form in a seller on her 3rd start when finishing 3rd in what has turned out to be a rather poor looking race. However, it was her first notable piece of form. After another mediocre effort in a maiden claimer, she finished 2nd of 4 in a 4 runner seller beaten comfortably by a 65 rated horse before making her handicap debut off a mark of 52 on her final start as a 2 year old. After breaking well and trying to make all over an extended 1m at Leicester, she battled grimly before giving way in the final furlong or so as she finished a 5.75L beaten 5th. Although looking average at the time, it has turned out to be a rather hot nursery.

    The front two home that day Spirit of the Law and Takeitfromalady have proven to be much better than their marks that day and are now 29lb and 22lb higher rated respectively winning a combined 6 races between them. Furthermore, the 6th and 8th won on their next starts so it was a much better effort than it appeared on the surface. After a 9 month break, she made her seasonal reappearance and 3 year old debut at Wolves in a 7f Seller at Wolves in May. After being settled towards the rear of the field, Mad For Fun made good progress on the outside before swinging wide coming into the home straight before finishing a never nearer 5.5L beaten 3rd. Although a Seller, the front two home franked the form by winning in handicaps on their next starts off marks of 68 and 54 respectively and given that it was her first start for 9 months it was a rather likeable effort.

    On her final start, Mad For Fun undoubtedly put in her best effort to date when going down by a short head at Carlisle on good to firm ground over 7f at the end of May off a mark of 50. After being settled just in behind the pace, Mad For Fun came with what looked a very good looking effort down the outside under apprentice Ned Curtis as she narrowly went down to Robert Winston on Johnny Cavagin. I've watched and rewatched that race several times and I think its very interesting. Firstly, it must be noted that Ned Curtis is 7lb claimer who is his first full season riding and he definitely seems to be a rider who is still learning with every ride. Making her challenge down the outside, Mad For Fun was given a couple of smacks with the whip with 2f to go and one more in the final furlong as she was given rather tender hands and heels riding at the finish. I'm not knocking Curtis at all given he's clearly inexperienced but I certainly think that he had a lot of horse left under him. Nevertheless, the form of that race couldn't be any stronger.

    The winner Johnny Cavagin absolutely bolted in by 4L (although it could have been more) on his only subsequent start off a 3lb higher mark as he beat current joint favourite Dream Walker at Doncaster. Further to this the 3rd Pendle lady was beaten by 0.25L on her next start, the 6th was beaten by less than 0.75L on his next two starts and the 7th won by 6L on her next start before following that up by an excellent 2nd. This race has turned out to be a very strong looking Class 6 event and off only a 2lb higher mark I think Mad For Fun looks very capable of scoring off her new mark of 52. In relation to todays race, Mad For Fun definitely looks like she has the beating of current joint favourite Dream Walker on a line through Johnny Cavagin and I think the fact she is a bigger price makes her very good value. She'll face very similar conditions as to what she faced on her last start and the extra 0.5f trip should be absolutely no problem at all. Micky Fenton takes the ride on Paul Midgley's 3 year old and the trainer and jockey in good form at present. With a good draw in stall 5 that should hopefully see Fenton sit just off the pace, I'm very confident for of a big showing from this relatively unexposed filly and if progressing from her last run then I see her going very close to landing this Class 6 contest.
     
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  3. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    8.00 Beverley

    Collateral Damage 5/1 NB


    The most frustrating horse I've ever come across as he was clearly being fiddled with for ages before finally getting back to winning way on his last start. Of course, I wasn't on that day as I was waiting for connections land a gamble on him at a much bigger price but he scored in good style and now he's won I can definitely see him going on to run up a sequence. Before his last start, Tim Easterby's 9 year old was winless since 2009 but he has become ridiculously well handicapped as he had fallen 26lb below that success when scoring off a mark of 66 on his last start on heavy ground at Hamilton. I think two things factored into his latest success which were he raced much closer to the pace and the return to testing conditions which he seems to relish. He won rather impressively earlier this month by 1.5L and I'm absolutely shocked the handicapper has only raised him 2lb for that effort. The form of that race has taken a couple of big boosts recently from the 3 horses that have raced since. The 2nd Master of Dance scored off the same mark on his next start whilst the 5th Christmas Light went down by a short head in a better race off a 2lb lower mark after being touched off by Lockantanks who has gone in again since. Furthermore the 4th High Resolution came a good 2nd on his only start to solidify the form. Collateral Damage returns to a Beverley track where he has yet to win on but has run well enough on a couple of occasions and although not ideal it shouldn't be a bigger problem. He'll face good to firm ground tomorrow which again isn't ideal but he has won off a mark of 85 on this ground before so I don't think it should prove too much of an issue off a mark of 68. Stable jockey David Allan takes over from James Sullivan in the saddle tomorrow and if connections want him to win then I think he should improve incredibly hard to beat now he has rediscovered the winning verve.
     
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  4. Bucks

    Bucks Member

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    Great write up ROTO, best of luck with them.

    Like the look of one at Beverley 9.00 TABARET 11/1 looks to be coming back in to a bit of form on his last few runs when placing and is a massive 17lb below his last winning mark!!

    11/1 looks very good value to me so I will be having a good e/w on him tonight.
     
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  5. Bucks

    Bucks Member

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    Before I forget how obvious is it that the Pipes will be going to land a gamble soon on the now owned Martin Pipe horse PRESENTING ACE that ran at Newton Abbot yesterday and travelled all over them for most of the race then near the finish was given a very easy time of it!!

    Next time he is out someone put it up on here for me so I don`t forget then watch the market for the plunge!
     
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  6. woolcombe-folly007

    woolcombe-folly007 Well-Known Member

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    If you have a tracker, put him in that- If you use gg.com they flag it up the night before, so you iwll be able to get a nice early price! ATR flags them up 5mins before they race <laugh>
     
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  7. Peter the spastic paedo

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    Declared in 4.20 Worcester on Wednesday.
     
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  8. YouCanCallMeJeff

    YouCanCallMeJeff Active Member

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    Just signed up to gg.com will be good to start getting early prices on some

    Marie Des Anges, Presenting Ace and Leo Luna in the watch list so far.
     
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  9. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

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    follow Brian Hughes @ Cartmel today, he wont win em all but he wont be far off


    stay frosty
     
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  10. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

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    Funny thing Heis i was thinking the same but with Jason Maguire... One of us has to hit then...<laugh><laugh>
     
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  11. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    I have put Eshtibaak into my notebook. Given no chance at all by Hanagan at Ascot yesterday and ran on well under soft handling, eventually. I wouldn't be worried about the ground drying out either as he ran full of promise on his debut run on good to firm (his only run on a sound turf surface). Lightly raced and unraced at 2. Beautiful pedigree by Dalakhani out of a mare by Anabaa who sired Goldikova.
     
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  12. gingerninja

    gingerninja Well-Known Member

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    Ive put in mass rally thought it was given such an easy ride yesterday it must definitely win nto IMO ;)
     
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  13. Wayward Lad

    Wayward Lad Active Member

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    Afternoon gus another glorious warm but somewhat windy day up North, a couple from me today:

    Ayr

    2.30 SILVER RIME 4/1 takes a drop in grade and down another pound for his last run now 8lb better than his last win at this course and the stable tend to do well with thier runners at Ayr. At a bigger price DHHAMAAN 12/1 (EW) from the in form Ruth Carr yard may be worth a little cash.

    3.05 SHUNKAWAKHAN 33/1 EW gets his preffered ground, has course form, runs off a very attractive mark of 45 and the booking of Joe Fanning is a plus.

    3.35 KYLLAYCHOV 9/2 has shown plenty of promise in his last two races to suggest he will be winning a Handicap at this level soon, LTO over C&D he was running on and just failed to get up when 3rd and beaten by 1l on soft ground, todays drying ground could be the difference, either way he will go close. At a much bigger price and one that ive had in my notebook for a while and will run a big race at this level soon is the Ruth Carr trained VIKING DANCER 25/1 (EW), once again the stable stick with blinkers for the second time and the horse may have just needed the last run, small EW stakes for a stable that has done me proud with big priced winners over the last two years.

    4.10 ROYAL STRAIGHT 8/1 (EW) C&D winner LTO when he was stepped up in class and won going away, a 6lb penalty for that win is partially negated by the booking of the very useful young Jockey Shane Kelly (claims 5lb) and should be enough to see him involved again.

    5.15 ANOTHER CITIZEN 3/1 won here last year off a 7lb higher mark over C&D and showed enough LTO when running on over 5f with not the clearest of runs when beaten 2l.
     
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  14. Wayward Lad

    Wayward Lad Active Member

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    In the 2.00 Ayr whilst the favourite should win with ease, there is an interesting runner from the Kevin Ryan yard GREELEYS LOVE 8/1 cost $105,000 and might be worth a small EW bet in a race that wouldnt take much winning.
     
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  15. Wayward Lad

    Wayward Lad Active Member

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    Nice drift there, 7/2 the place :)
     
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  16. YouCanCallMeJeff

    YouCanCallMeJeff Active Member

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    Good start to the day Wayward <applause>

    Payed at 1/5th of the odds the place though?
     
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  17. Wayward Lad

    Wayward Lad Active Member

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    14/1 BOG Bet 365 Jeff :) just under 3/1
     
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  18. Wayward Lad

    Wayward Lad Active Member

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    Big gamble on the McGuire, Mcain combination here on at 15/8
     
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  19. Wayward Lad

    Wayward Lad Active Member

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    Bloody hell, never in it great ride from young Ritchie McGrath, right im out of here good luck for the rest of the day people <ok>
     
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  20. Wayward Lad

    Wayward Lad Active Member

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    In the next at Cartmel MWALESHI 7/2 looks a crackingbet, a line through SAMLIB MONTERG who won yesterday makes him a knocking bet lump on now looks like there is a gamble on
     
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