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Daily Racing Thread - Friday 13th

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by rainbowview, Apr 12, 2012.

  1. Grizzly

    Grizzly Active Member

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    Looking over the garden fence Wooly ?
    Your little one must be what 4/5 months old now ? I assume the missus has recovered sufficiently ?
    If not, give her a kick and tell her to pick her game up <devil>
     
    #61
  2. Grizzly

    Grizzly Active Member

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    11/2 was available with Stan earlier this evening (gone now) but 5s still generally available...
     
    #62
  3. woolcombe-folly007

    woolcombe-folly007 Well-Known Member

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    I was just sayin- hoping to run in to her on saturday <laugh> only joking

    He is 2 months and 10 days :D she has recovered quite sufficiently ;) lol but I was just saying!
     
    #63
  4. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    4.50 Aintree

    Orsippus 20/1

    Although he isn't without his risks, I think Orsippus looks overpriced in what looks an open race and he looks decently handicapped and ready to strike if on song. Michael Smith's 6 year old was a Grade 1 winner at Aintree in his juvenile season and although he perhaps never reached those heights again he has some other credible efforts to his name and has been competing in much better company than this recently in which he has been outclassed. He races tomorrow off a mark of 136 which looks very manageable considering he beat the talented Barizan and Sanctuaire off level weights by 3.25L and 2.75L respectively when landing his Grade 1.

    As well as landing that race, Orsippus put in a fantastic effort at the Cheltenham Festival last year when finishing a fantastic 6.5L beaten 3rd behind Carlito Brigante in the Grade 3 Coral Cup handicap off the same mark over this trip and on similar ground. Although others probably come into the race in better form, Orsippus has run a very encouraging race LTO when beaten less than 10L by Simonsig, although the winner won on the snaff and the winning distance obviously flattered him. However, Orsippus was still travelling very well until the last flight before making a slight mistake before Denis O'Regan nursed him home up the run in. Still, considering the 3 horses in front of him were higher rated and they were racing off level weights if I was connections I'd be pleased with his performance.

    Its pretty clear to me that Michael Smith had the same plan this year as he did last year for Orsippus which was to run him in the Coral Cup and this race which he did last year but he didn't get into the Coral Cup this year and I think that could be a blessing in disguise as he'll come here than most of his rivals. Last year in this race, Orsippus was travelling into the race very nicely before getting interfered with about 4 times but he still ran a very decent 9th. I think its very significant that Michael Smith's go to jockey Davy Condon, who has been on Orsippus for all his major races, is booked tomorrow for what is his only ride of the day. Trainer Michael Smith could hardly be in better form, with 3 winners from his last 4 runners (2 flat) and his last two jumpers winning which is a huge plus. I expect Orsippus to be fully wound up and under his very able partner Davy Condon I can see him going close to landing this event at a track where he clearly goes very well.
     
    #64
  5. Quelesprit

    Quelesprit New Member

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    Compelling argument once again ROTO
     
    #65
  6. woolcombe-folly007

    woolcombe-folly007 Well-Known Member

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    Nice write up ROTO- Still fancy Its A Gimme to rock home but have just put a little e/w on him! <cheers>
     
    #66
  7. GGW

    GGW Well-Known Member

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    What's more I think Carberry is a very interesting booking on Saphir River too.
     
    #67
  8. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    Cheers lads

    Backed Saphir Rouge on British debut along with Son of Flicka in the Coral Cup and he is certainly an interesting contender. Would have taken some 50s if quick enough but I think 25s is a tad too short for what he is up against.
     
    #68
  9. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    7.15 Dundalk

    Walk With Destiny FC 25/1

    Should get a nice price about this 3 year old debutant given his relatively unknown trainer Frank Dunne but I certainly think this gelding can go close to make a winning introduction. Dunne, a small trainer with only a selective string, appears to be backed by a relatively well off owner in the shape of Miss A H Marshall who seems more than willing to pay a premium price to get some nice horses. For Dunne last year, Marshall had 4 horses who finished the season rated 100, 98, 64 and without a handicap rating yet. The horse without the handicap rating beat an 81 rated horse by 5L on his last start and the horse rated 64, who was close to a 200k purchase, made an extremely promising debut finishing less than 2L behind Misty For Me before not progressing. From this, I gather the owner/trainer combination like operating with high class horses which is an obvious bonus for this one tomorrow.

    Walk With Destiny looks pretty well bred, with his half sister and stablemate One Spirit rated 98 who had some pretty solid Listed form. Dunne has actually bred both One Spirit and Walk With Destiny so he clearly knows the family well and I think we can expect this new recruit to be pretty decent. However, breeding is not my strong suit so I can't be entirely sure about this. Tomorrow, Ben Curtis takes the ride and it will be his first time teaming up with Dunne and although he has never had a first time out winner his former horse Prescient was beaten less than 2L on debut and One Spirit was only beaten by 0.25L so I certainly think there is a lot of hope for Walk With Destiny tomorrow. Although the tongue tie on debut is hardly inspiring, I think this 3 year old has a lot in his favour tomorrow and I hope he can spring a bit of a surprise by landing this tomorrow.
     
    #69
  10. tidalbay

    tidalbay Member

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    E/W Lucky 15 on the below

    AINTREE 16:50 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 4f 0y
    All The Aces @ 16/1 (GP)

    AINTREE 15:40 TOPHAM CHASE 2m 5f 110y
    Frankie Figg @ 10/1 (GP)

    AINTREE
    15:05 MELLING CHASE GRADE 1 2m 4f
    Poquelin @ 13/2 (GP)

    AINTREE14:00 NOVICES HURDLE 2m 0f 110y
    Captain Conan @ 10/1 (GP)

    Lucky 31 on these

    AINTREE 16:15 NOVICES HURDLE 3m 0f 110y
    Fingal Bay @ 6/4 (GP)

    AINTREE 14:30 NOVICES CHASE 3m 1f 0y
    Join Together @ 5/1 (GP)

    DUNDALK 20:15 HANDICAP (4YO+) 1m
    Elusive Ridge @ 5/1 (GP)

    DUNDALK 18:45 HANDICAP 1m 2f 150yds
    Aquilonius @ 2/1 (GP)

    SEDGEFIELD 17:05 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 1f
    Suprise Vendor @ 15/8 (GP)

    Good Luck Everybody
     
    #70

  11. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Morning, old tops. Today I'll nominate the following to the old regular readers:

    Fingal Bay (4.15 Aintree) &#8211; this unbeaten gelding has looked potentially top notch as he has climbed the old novice hurdling ranks with aplomb this term culminating in him taking the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle at Newbury last time out. Returns from a 104 day absence today and should certainly be fresher than most of his opponents as a result. Steps up to 24 furlongs this afternoon but he should excel at this trip and I expect the old boy to retain his 100% record.

    Tour D&#8217;argent (4.50 Aintree) &#8211; Mr Henderson&#8217;s charge gets in here towards the foot of the weights and I must say looks very well treated off 131. The form of his last start, in January, has worked out very well with the runner-up that day winning last time out by 26 lengths and the third home (beaten 13.75 lengths when in receipt of 7 pounds from Mr Henderson&#8217;s charge) running a cracker at the weekend when just beaten in a £50k contest. Providing the Geraghty lad doesn&#8217;t steer him onto the Grand National course I think Tour D&#8217;argent will go very, very close here and I think odds of 11/1 are Very Generous with a capital &#8216;V&#8217; and a capital &#8216;G&#8217;.

    Good luck to all today.
     
    #71
  12. simmo250785

    simmo250785 Member

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    Tour Dargent looks like he could be thrown in so I will have a dabble on him. I have also backed Doyle Carte as McCain has targeted this race for the mare for a while
     
    #72
  13. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

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    Good morning gents... I was hoping to be telling you that i was looking forward to a great day at Aintree but things have conspired to change my plans for today and the weekend... It certainly looks like the forum has had a good look at the runners and some interesting selections have been posted already... See if i can through a few donkeys into te mix as well...<ok>

    Lets hope for another good days racing...<cheers>
     
    #73
  14. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    11/1 LITTLE JOSH - yes please - come on
     
    #74
  15. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    A conditonal jockey on twitter has tweeted that Frankel is out for the season. Lets hope not true
     
    #75
  16. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Just nursing my hangover from yesterday's drinking at Aintree - should've done more drinking and less betting tbh. Getting 1.30 for Big Bucks on the billy goat was about as good as it got yesterday. Deserted Grumeti for Countrywide Flame <doh> then lumped on Riverside Theatre <doh>, went on My Way in the Foxhunters when I KNEW Cloudy Lane would win (kept remembering Nass talking him up over the winter). Got a decent e/w return on Astracad, had another double <doh> on Pepite Rose (spot on with that RV although Al Ferof was very poor, must've been a ****e race if that donkey Menorah could win) and had a last throw of the dice on corkage cos this fit bird said to back it (you can see how desperate I was at this stage <laugh>) but alas it wasn't to be.

    Got some good pics of Bucks which I will try and post later. Bacon & Egg sarnie time now <ok>
     
    #76
  17. connor wigham

    connor wigham Active Member

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    Hi everyone im not normally somone who bets and deffinatly not on horses but for the grand national i have three horses i have bet on and i was wondering your opinions on them

    firstly i have Viking Blond 100/1 in the sweepstake

    I also went for Killyglen 20/1 just because it kind of sounds like the sunderland player killgallon <laugh>

    and lastly this is the horse im actually backing Seabass 22/1

    just wonding what do you think of those three and who are your tips


    thanks <ok>
     
    #77
  18. Quelesprit

    Quelesprit New Member

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    Which jockey RV???
     
    #78
  19. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Gary Derwin Quel. He rides for Nicky Henderson. (Not sure how he would know first mind)
     
    #79
  20. Quelesprit

    Quelesprit New Member

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    What's your twitter handle?
     
    #80

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