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Stats: First goal is crucial.

Discussion in 'Southampton' started by AlanSFC, Apr 12, 2012.

  1. AlanSFC

    AlanSFC Member

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    As we all know tomorrows game is massive and is going to be a very tough with not a lot in it. So, tomorrow, more so than ever, it is going to be very important whose scores the first goal.

    These are our records when scoring or conceding the first goal:

    When scoring first:

    Saints have scored first in 26 of our games. In these 26 games we have accumulated 70 points. Won 22 Drawn 4 Lost 0 (2.69 points per game)
    Reading have scored first in 21 of their games. In these 21 games they have accumulated 58 points. Won 19 Drawn 1 Lost 1 (2.76 points per game)

    When conceding first

    Saints have conceded first in 15 of our games. In these 15 games we have accumulated 11 points. Won 2 Drawn 5 Lost 8 (0.73 points per game)
    Reading have conceded first in 19 of their games. In these 19 games they have accumulated 22 points. Won 6 Drawn 4 Lost 9. (1.15 points per games)

    As the stats show, we both have brilliant records when scoring the first goal. We have accumulated more points than them but they have a better points per game average. So it is very balanced.
    However, when conceding the first goal it is a different story. When this happens we do not do well at all. We have only won two games in which we have conceded the first goal.
    Reading, on the other hand, have conceded first four more times than us but have gone on to win 6 games of those games, accumulating double the amount of points we have and with a much better points per game average.

    Overall, these stats favour Reading. They do extremely well when going ahead and are capable of turning games around. While we too do extremly well when scoring the first goal but struggle to turn games around when the opposition scores the first goal.
    Conclusion: We need to score the first goal!
     
    #1
  2. Mr_Saintly

    Mr_Saintly Well-Known Member

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    Damn, if we concede first then we're fluffed..
     
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  3. fran-MLs little camera

    fran-MLs little camera Well-Known Member

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    I bang on about this before every game...score first and score early, but apparently don't let Reading score second because that favours them as well!! So also keep a clean sheet...sorted.
     
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  4. ThatThereSaintsFan

    ThatThereSaintsFan Well-Known Member

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    Pretty sure the time they drew when they scored first was against us though! So all is not lost!
     
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  5. cdvdtz

    cdvdtz Member

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    So we have to score first and second and keep a clean sheet? Easy!
     
    #5
  6. ----HistoryRepeating----

    ----HistoryRepeating---- Well-Known Member

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    We turned it around against them after they scored first, & we didn't exactly play that well.
    Looking back, that was a big result.
     
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  7. Hamble Saint

    Hamble Saint Member

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    Basically just win the game then by keeping a clean sheet and scoring goals, i like it ;)
     
    #7
  8. fran-MLs little camera

    fran-MLs little camera Well-Known Member

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    Score one more goal than Reading...that should do it.
     
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  9. SAINTDON13

    SAINTDON13 Well-Known Member

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    If we don't concede we won't lose, says DM
     
    #9
  10. North Hants Saint

    North Hants Saint Active Member

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    Shine the sun/floodlights off of McDermott's head and into their eyes. Sorted.
     
    #10

  11. North Hants Saint

    North Hants Saint Active Member

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    What Saints don't want to do here is...<grr>
     
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  12. Andoversaint

    Andoversaint Active Member

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    brilliant thread, clearly we need first goal, then the win is easier
     
    #12
  13. fran-MLs little camera

    fran-MLs little camera Well-Known Member

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    Our first four goals could be important as well.
     
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  14. The Frog Chorus

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    You've got to love Dave Merrington. The bloke who sits next to me at SMS always listens on his headphones and always informs me when Dave gives such advice. I try to relay the message to Nigel on the touchline but he never looks my way!!! <laugh>
     
    #14
  15. Channonfodder

    Channonfodder Rebel without a clue.....

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    Two of those four times where we scored first but didn't win we're against Pompey. Those two games, perhaps because of the passion of the occasion, we didn't pass the ball around the back once we has the lead in our normal fashion. This means the opposition has to push out leaving the gaps behind to exploit. I hope we score first and then keep the ball. Composure under fire will do the trick.
     
    #15
  16. fatletiss

    fatletiss Well-Known Member

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    While we're on stats, we have actually won those games that we have scored last in and the other team have failed to score before or after our first and last goals.
     
    #16
  17. SuperSchneid

    SuperSchneid Well-Known Member

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    Great now im more worried, they have better average in both!!
     
    #17
  18. fran-MLs little camera

    fran-MLs little camera Well-Known Member

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    I'm sure statistics suggest that ManU should have beaten Wigan.
     
    #18
  19. cdvdtz

    cdvdtz Member

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    :emoticon-0148-yes:
     
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