There’s a very high chance we get a premiership side. 50:50 chance of a home draw. I am going for home against Liverpool.
Well……. we can face a possible 7 teams so that’s 1/7 chance. Then it’s either home or away which is 1/2 chances. So to predict correctly for one person it would be 1/14. For us both to predict that assuming nothing else would be 1/14 x 1/14 which as you know is 1/196 chance
Basically City and Liverpool we go out, Man U and Chelsea we have some chance and anyone else we have a good chance.
I did what you usually do and ignore the actual question and respond with my own thoughts to something
Is that influenced by probability of us choosing a bigger side over a smaller side just because we are more likely to be negative in our thought process?
Wolves are in form and Brighton are bad atm, Wolves would be tougher tbh. And with the home advantage, I wouldn't be surprised if Forest put out Man U.
I do mate it's the only thing left and I just know having gained many years of experience that we won't. If I was watching us playing well I might give us a small chance, but we're absolutely dreadful and it's getting worse. It reminds me how useless Newcastle were under Bruce.