1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

Daily Racing Thread Saturday 4th. November 2023

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by attivo, Nov 3, 2023.

  1. attivo

    attivo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 23, 2014
    Messages:
    4,971
    Likes Received:
    4,260
    Saturday's Meetings

    Newmarket
    Flat 9 Races 11:20-3:57p.m.
    Ayr
    N/H 7 Races 12:00-4:04p.m.
    Wetherby
    N/H 7 Races 12:40-4:08p.m.
    Ascot
    N/H 7 Races 12:55-4:15p.m.
    Chelmsford
    A/W 8 Races 2:50-6:30p.m.
    Santa Anita(USA)
    Dirt&Turf 11Races 5:10-11:55p.m.
    Down Royal
    Abandoned

    Racecards
    At The Races
    Sporting Life
    Racing Post


    Good Luck <ok>
     
    #1
    SaveTheHumans likes this.
  2. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2018
    Messages:
    3,384
    Likes Received:
    3,928
    Ascot
    14,05 Red Rookie 4/1
    Skip Cheltenham last week. Form after break: 11512F51
    15,45 Beauport 4/1

    Santa Anita
    19,10 Warm Heart 3/1 bet365, Lads and Coral
     
    #2
    GOLDBONES, LG and SwanHills like this.
  3. Grade One

    Grade One Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2017
    Messages:
    3,176
    Likes Received:
    2,108
    At Santa Anita will stick with following top jockey Juan Hernandez

    5.50-Maltese Falcon @ 12-1
    7.50-Edna @ 20-1
    9.10-Adare Manor @ 9-2
    9.50-Gold Phoenix @ 66-1
    11.59-Dr Schivel @ 6-1

    1pt win on each
     
    #3
    smokethedeadbadger, GOLDBONES and LG like this.
  4. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    28,306
    Likes Received:
    10,392
    Glad to see Wetherby has got the go ahead so we will get 9 NH races on ITV prior to the transatlantic rubbish.

    Starting with the Charlie Hall and I have got a quiet fancy for Irish raider Gentlemansgame - even though the odds of 7/2 make no appeal whatsoever so a no bet race. Mouse Morris' son of Gentlewave ran a fine race in the PWC Champion Chase on reappearance over an inadequate trip and will relish the test today. Clearly Bravemansgame is top class but if he is going to be vulnerable this season then today could be the day.

    Earlier on the card the mares hurdle looks very tricky - heart says Luccia but head says no bet - as does the West Yorkshire Hurdle. I was quite keen on Thyme Hill until I saw his price so will take a chance that trip and going can help Botox Has take a step forward.

    Over at Ascot the novices hurdle is one that Nicky Henderson likes to target (has won 4 of the last 11 running including with Altior and MTOY) and his Jango Baie should know enough on rules debut. He was 2nd in a point that has thrown up 2 rules winners including Sharp Novices Hurdle 4th Williethebuilder. In the big handicap chases, Kim Bailey has two C&D winners in First Flow and Two For Gold (e/w) who should both go well but the form of Monbeg Genius last run has been massively boosted since and this could be the start of a very profitable season for him. Trainer Jonjo O'Neill won this with Go Conquer a few years ago - probably the last time I backed the winner of the race.
     
    #4
  5. stick

    stick Bumper King

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2012
    Messages:
    18,562
    Likes Received:
    10,974
    My Breeders Cup fancies;

    6:30 Codys Wish 4/5
    7:10 Inspiral 9/4
    7:50 Yuugiri 18/1
    8:30 Songline 100/30
    9:10 Clairiere 11/2
    9:50 Mostahdaf 11/4
    10:40 Ushba Tesoro 7/2
    11:25 Tony Ann 28/1
    12:eek:o The Chosen Vron 13/2
     
    #5
    smokethedeadbadger likes this.
  6. stick

    stick Bumper King

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2012
    Messages:
    18,562
    Likes Received:
    10,974
    INDEEVAR BLEU makes his hurdles debut at Ayr in the first race today. If he is going to achieve what I hope he can he will need to win this impressively although its a decent looking race.

    A couple of bumpers today.
    At Ayr I had two at nice prices HELSGETAWAY 9/1 and WILL TOMORROW DO 40/1 (taken 6 places at 28/1)
    At Ascot I really like ALL AUTHORIZED 5/1. Needs to defy a penalty and that is always a big ask in these races. Oak Grove is highly regarded by his yard.
     
    #6
    SwanHills and OddDog like this.
  7. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2018
    Messages:
    3,384
    Likes Received:
    3,928
    I hope Sean Bowen at Ayr have a good day.
     
    #7
  8. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    13,843
    Likes Received:
    4,815

    You can tear that antepost ticket up. What a horrid shape he made at most hurdles.
     
    #8
  9. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,100
    Likes Received:
    23,100
    Two I fancy at Ascot
    13.30 Are U Wise To That 7/2
    16.15 Oak Grove 7/2 Purely based on the fact that, at £250,000 as a 4yo, he fetched 4 times as much as he did as a 3yo and has been moved to F O'Brien which signals to me that he must be developing well and thought to have a future. First run for new stable
     
    #9
  10. stick

    stick Bumper King

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2012
    Messages:
    18,562
    Likes Received:
    10,974
    Looked like it was the first time he had seen one. Pulled way too hard as well.
     
    #10

  11. stick

    stick Bumper King

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2012
    Messages:
    18,562
    Likes Received:
    10,974
    The increase in the sale price was purely due to him winning an Irish point to point Ron. Nothing special on pedigree but the yard do like him a lot apparently.
     
    #11
    Ron likes this.
  12. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,100
    Likes Received:
    23,100
    Cheers stick. That can't be bad either. Must have been impressed with the way he ran
     
    #12
  13. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,100
    Likes Received:
    23,100
    What's wrong with the pedigree stick

    upload_2023-11-4_13-31-21.png
     
    #13
  14. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    13,843
    Likes Received:
    4,815

    He’s not much to look at in my opinion, but that probably helps anyone who backs him!
     
    #14
  15. SwanHills

    SwanHills Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2011
    Messages:
    9,698
    Likes Received:
    5,383
    In the Breeders' Cup Classic today at Santa Anita (22:40), over 1m2f on the Dirt track, just cannot split White Abarrio and the Japanese champion Ushba Tesoro. Maybe White Abarrio has the better chance as Ushba Tesoro will need a clear passage for his explosive finish, however, he will surely get the fast pace he needs.

    4/1 seems to be the best price for both horses with Oddschecker, although 7/2 might be more correct with Ushba Tesoro?
    ....................
    E/W on each plus Reverse Forecast.
    ....................
    Have a successful Saturday, folks! <bubbly>
     
    #15
    GOLDBONES and Pilgrim like this.
  16. floridaspearl

    floridaspearl Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2013
    Messages:
    3,317
    Likes Received:
    1,702
    Inspiral and live in the dream double at Santa Anita. Obvious I know but paying 7/1.
     
    #16
  17. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,100
    Likes Received:
    23,100
    Are U Wise To That didn't seem very wise towards fences. Not a very encouraging run considering Timeform's comment "Sure to progress and win more races". At what level though? Straightening out his jumping should eke out some improvement
     
    #17
  18. stick

    stick Bumper King

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2012
    Messages:
    18,562
    Likes Received:
    10,974
    The dam is 13yo and has yet to produce anything other than this one. She was also distinctly average when racing.
    On the plus side the 2nd dam produced some belters.
     
    #18
  19. SwanHills

    SwanHills Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2011
    Messages:
    9,698
    Likes Received:
    5,383
    Could be quite wrong, of course, but I don't think either are that 'obvious', especially Inspiral, who just might find 1-1/4 miles a bit beyond her? Anyway, good luck, 7/1 is a fair old bet. <ok>
     
    #19
  20. SaveTheHumans

    SaveTheHumans Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2012
    Messages:
    11,230
    Likes Received:
    5,230
    On fire Odddog, well done
     
    #20
    OddDog likes this.

Share This Page