Chelsea again ! You guys must be on first name terms with their supporters given that you meet so regularly. Sad that City were drawn to.meet you in the semis, as playing Chelsea won't get you playing at the same level.Perhaps the best is yet to.come, though, with yourselves and Manchester City meeing in the CL.final.
Chelsea are only a different approach and only held back by the absolute tripe they have up front. City want to tactically kill us with players in the half spaces or over the top. Cheslea want to press us hard. Tbh I think chelsea have played us better this season. They would have beaten us at anfield bar James stupidity and they dominated large parts of that 2-2 at the bridge. Hopefully they are spent by the final but I can it us being wrung out rags and blown off it. Havertz and mount miss far too much and werner is awful.
I'd say 55% chance beating Chelsea in FA. We're better but kind of cancel each other. 70% chance of winning SF in CL and about 55% chance of either finalist. (So 39% chance of CL). And on the low end about 35% chance of PL. So about a 7.5% chance overall for the quad... Of course this isn't very scientific just trying ro break down odds of each tournament. That's up from 4% about a week or so ago.
Your rating of our chances in cl is off due to klopps record in semi finals. 70% is too low. In general I'd agree 95% is too high given the home game is first but in general 85-90% is where we ought to be.
I would argue there's no such thing as a semi final specialist. It's true he may have a 9/10 record or something like that... But whereas there might be characteristics of being good for cup games, etc... I have difficulty believing there is something specifically unique about preparing a team for semi finals that isn't true for finals... Or even quarter finals of big competitions like CL. Mine certainly in this case certainly are! . Trying to make educated guesses of our chances, and odds of winning the quad for no specific reason.
Take a look at a bookie's odds. Apparently they're quite good at that sort of thing. Or at least at making money out of mugs.
Bookmaker odds are good approximation... But they're based more on what other people have bet than actual odds. Teams with more fans get more bets place so bookmakers lower payouts. Example:. England in anything are always made one of the favourites with English bookmakers even though they rarely stand a chance.
True. I've said often on here that odds reflect the betting, not the likelihood. Forget my previous post.
Sky have a big analysis article on odds on us doing the quad. 30.8% chance of winning FA Cup and CL 25% chance of fa cup and prem 18.2% chance of Prem and CL 15.4% chance of no more trophies 12.5% chance of Prem Fa cup and CL
