But surely the cases don’t work like that, over a week or 10 days infected people will be healthy again, so it’s not just a cases of adding cases, the model would need to account for the recovered people & subtract them away (I hope that makes sense, I’m onto beer #3!)
The fear is that a million people might have contracted this variant by the end of the month, it’s irrelevant how long they have it.
Ok. That’s misleading then, it implies that 1 mill people will be unwell with the virus, which from a maths perspective is wrong. Infected people from 1-20th will be recovered
the speed of it spreading is covered in the doubling every ****ing day…..that’s factored in ….what’s not is….the recovery factor….. its more spin with the numbers
if we were discussing people under treatment for cancer, would you include everyone who has already been cured earlier in the year? That’s what that calculation is doing, it’s a cumulative total, but in reality people infected on days 1 -20 will have recovered. It’s an artificially manufactured number to make it look scarier
they won’t, people infected on days 1-20 will have recovered, they HAD it, 1 mill people will not HAVE it
Its not just from a maths perspective, because there have been no symptoms given to this new Variant other than fatigue, some will just carry on regardless as they would with man flu... From what they're inferring 1 million will be filling A&E's... its just all scare tactic.
I don’t think anyone has claimed 1 mill will be in hospitals, that’s a claim too far, we don’t have 1 mill hospital beds lol
Absolutely. But a small percentage don't. And a small percentage of tens of millions of people is still a pretty big number.
