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Daily Racing Thread Wednesday 3rd. February 2021

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by attivo, Feb 2, 2021.

  1. attivo

    attivo Well-Known Member

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    #1
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  2. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

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    As the great Tom Petty sang "Here Comes My Girl".

    Bet365 already has odds for the race. Obviously the big favourite is The Worlds End (5/4) and then her (5/2). I am very surprised by the odds on Ange Des Malberaux (33/1), he was running a great race until he hit and unseated rider at Ludlow in the race that Hazel Hill won thirteen days ago. I've already said I'm happy for her to qualify and come back safe and sound. Don't burst the bubble please.

    And one more thing, to appreciate the big change in this year's Hunters' Chase, last year only five horses ran this race, this year will be running eighteen.
     
    #2
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  3. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    It’s all to do with the lack of point to points, a massive shame for the amateur aspect to the sport. Makes it more irksome when you see big yards having runners in these races.
     
    #3
  4. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    This one may need A Touch Of Luck to break her duck but on looking at her last race here I think she is better than she has shown and the drop in trip should be ideal, especially if she can learn to settle. A Frankel filly out of a mare by Peintre Celebre, she cost 90k Guineas as a yearling and appears to have been brought on gently having not seen a racecourse until last summer. Worth the risk at 15/2
     
    #4
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  5. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Bloody Hell. Was 15/2 when I started to post. Now down to 11/2 best price, even 7/2 with PP <yikes>

    Not sure what is going on there
     
    #5
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  6. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

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    I said I was surprised that Ange Des Malberaux opened at 33/1 but then many bookies had him at 50/1-66/1 and now it seems they have realised their mistake and only bet365 holds his 33/1 from the start and the other bookmakers have him at 28/1-25/1. Those who have bet him at 66/1-50/1 have made a great bet in my opinion even though there are only three places.
     
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  7. Grade One

    Grade One Well-Known Member

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    Morning

    1.15 Lingfield-Exmoor Beast

    Each Way @ 17-2 [Bet 365]

    Back in trip will suit
     
    #7
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  8. LordGyllene

    LordGyllene Well-Known Member

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    Warwick 1.30 Bardd

    Form at the track reads 34326

    Todays rider Page Fuller was 2nd on him one year ago at Warwick.

    Handicap mark is attractive. Acts on soft. Could run well today on 3rd run over fences at big odds.
     
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  9. LordGyllene

    LordGyllene Well-Known Member

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    12.55 Admiral Balko

    Jane Williams has a fine record at Warwick over the last 5 seasons:

    Hurdles: Runs 6 Wins 4 Placed 0 PL 20.75

    This horse surely will improve after a good second on heavy at Bangor last time out.
     
    #9
  10. gazboy

    gazboy Well-Known Member

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    Is it too late to follow Sage Advice 12:55 Warwick?
     
    #10
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  11. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    <laugh>
     
    #11
  12. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    A Touch of Luck now 10/3 with Lads & Coral. Could end up fav at this rate
     
    #12
  13. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

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    No. I have a double with Ballycallan Fame.
     
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  14. gazboy

    gazboy Well-Known Member

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    Anytime I back Skelton the horse empties in the run in :emoticon-0121-angry
     
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  15. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Then again <laugh> Drifted out to 6s. A weird pattern. I'm guessing someone went in heavily last night and something has gone wrong. But actually clueless
     
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  16. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Starshiba a big market mover at Kempton 17.25. Not surprising as he won going away on this course over 7f. That was a decent time and he carries 11lb less today. The extra furlong should be no problem on that evidence. 7/4 generally available but 5/2 with 888
     
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  17. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Still hasn't learned to settle. Interesting that at the stage in her previous race where she made rapid smooth progress, she came under pressure. Came with a late run but was left with far too much to do.

    Notes
    Based on the way this filly made rapid smooth progress to take up the running in previous run and the way she ran on late today despite being under pressure early, I'm convinced this filly has a race in her. They just need to fathom out how to ride her and her optimum distance. She can't go any lower than a Class 6

    It was 81 days since a run which may explain the coming under pressure rather early
    Watch out for a quick return to the track, especially with a different jockey
    Change of trainer and jockey will be worth noting
     
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  18. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Worth a virtual £40 at 7/4
     
    #18
  19. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

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    2nd. Very good race and classified. The Worlds End 3rd and Ange Des Malberaux 6th.
     
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  20. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    <doh>
     
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