I know it’s the sun.....but “Professor Carl Heneghan, of the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine at the University of Oxford, almost immediately pointed out that modelling was based on the incorrect assumption that we were already experiencing 1,000 deaths a day in October.” https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/13420...cebook&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1607453344
I was in Liverpool on Sunday (for a legitimate reason allowed under tiering rules) and passed a pub that was advertising a free burger with every pint. I think the rules just say that you can only serve alcoholic drinks with a meal, but not that you have to eat the meal so I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if said pub was also equipped with a dustbin full of uneaten burgers.
Great news but it does seem Markedly less effective than the Moderna and Pfizer/BoiNTech though with 70% average efficiency after 2 full doses. I assume they will be going with the half dose / full dose trails that gave a 90% result? Maybe they will go with the Pfizer/ Moderna on the most vulnerable and the Oxford for everyone else?
We continue to slide down the table! Which tier we end up in will be interesting on the 16th. With 8 days to go, we might make a late push for Tier 1 if we can drop to the lower end of 100s.
Government ignore the last 4 days and BBC ignore the last 3 so it’ll be interesting if it means tomorrow (as in those that will be reported in 4 days time) or those reported tomorrow. Either way, surely we are T2 now.
As I mentioned earlier, and clearly I can only talk from my own perspective, and I'm sure there are people hit hard that woud welcome tier 2, but if this current system is bringing the levels down, for the sake of a few more weeks without a pub, I wouldn't be too upset if it stayed as it is. Pubs jumped through the hoops, and then got shafted. If it's tier 3, they're banned from opening, and get subsidies, but if we go to tier 3, it reduced their chances of support as technically they can open, and it may well mean stocking up and then having to waste the products again. Plus, some pubs can't supply the demand of food that would be needed to comply. Plus, as I understand it, the Council get more financial support, which should mean less time on a higher rate bill.
Gets reviewed on 16th but you could be right as there’ll have to be a day they pick so a week before could be it
And there in lies the problem the government always use and present us with data that's already out of date by the time they announce something, surely it should be possible to go on the figures from the day before with appropriate preliminary work done in the week before.
I’d think you’d need a couple of days to cleanse data, but I don’t know it’s a week anyway. I was just saying the date Dutch had heard was exactly a week before the day they’ll decide that’s all. Might be coincidence
More back tracking from the gov on the data presented.....the amount of errors in the modelling & data analysis is utterly shocking https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/20...rising-cases-second-lockdown-quietly-revised/
