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Daily Racing Thread Tuesday 6th. October 2020

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by attivo, Oct 5, 2020.

  1. attivo

    attivo Well-Known Member

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    Tuesday's Meetings

    Catterick
    Flat 8 Races 1:00-4:30p.m.
    Leicester
    Flat 8 Races 1:15-4:50p.m.
    Lingfield
    A/W 8 Races 2:10-5:40p.m.
    Southwell(E)
    A/W 7 Races 5:20-8:20p.m.

    Racecards
    At The Races
    Racing Post
    Sporting Life

    Good Luck <ok>
     
    #1
  2. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Don't mind me, putting this up early

    Southwell

    6:50 Blowing Dixie @ 10/1

    This horse is 4 from 6 at Southwell with 2 further places, he won here off 74 (by 4 lengths) when under the Jane Chapple-Hyam stable, and now returns to his beloved Southwell off a mark of 76 having had two "prep" runs for the Iain Jardine yard at Wolves. He to me looks twice the price that he should be, and I think this is a typical race where you can put a line through half the field. Mukha Magic is the other one to be interested in, given his perfect course and distance record, however he is still on a high mark due to his relative consistency on turf.

    8:20 Custard The Dragon @ 12/1 EW

    This horse also loves Southwell, and unlike Blowing Dixie, he has been showing up well on turf, but the key here is the switch back to Southwell where he is 7 from 19 with a further 3 placed efforts. He has dropped to his last winning mark for the surface and again you probably can write off half the field here. Jazz Hands would be the other one to be aware of if getting any market support.
     
    #2
  3. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

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    That first one looks a great spot Nass. I think I'll take a look at that later......... when the price has gone no doubt <doh>
     
    #3
  4. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

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    Just add to that Nass, last time out " 66/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 23 days ago, not knocked about"
     
    #4
  5. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Have a watch and see if you think they are being generous to the ride he was given <laugh>
     
    #5
  6. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

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    My only slight concerns are that 3 of his 4 wins have been in lower grade races and the jockey has only ridden him on those 2 recent occasions where he was down the field. Having said that, he did win one easily (Kinscote riding) and all his wins have been in faster time than Mukha Magic's 3 wins carrying similar weights, including the one he won by 7l, and he receives 8lb from that one. Apart from the jockey (about whom I know nothing) he looks to have the beating of MM. I'd be slightly worried about the sudden switch of jockey on Durrell (ie to Buick)
     
    #6

  7. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Different jockey is down to the switch of yard, but I actually think its quite a positive for the horse that Andrew Mullen rides, who is 112 winners from 872 rides at Southwell with a profit of £197.51 to level £1 stakes!! I would much rather have him on one at Southwell than say Will Buick.

    He has already shortened into 13/2.
     
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  8. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

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    6/1 now. Bugger. Hate missing a price; had to go out. Ah well I'll leave it now but good luck

    Btw, crappy pedigree b g Dubawi - Time Control (Sadler's Wells) <laugh>

    and the dam's mare line looks decent as well
     
    #8
  9. smokethedeadbadger

    smokethedeadbadger Well-Known Member

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    I thought you didn't bet? Have you been lured back in
     
    #9
  10. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

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    Virtual Betting Shop smokey
     
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  11. smokethedeadbadger

    smokethedeadbadger Well-Known Member

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    If its virtual then you can make up any price you want
     
    #11
  12. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Like stick does with his early shouts on here? <whistle>
     
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  13. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

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    2nd top rated by Timeform (97) 1lb below Durrell (98) and 1 lb above Mukha Magic (96)

    Then it's
    Bollin Joan 95
    Kodiac Harbour 95
    Charlie Arthur 94
    Cedar Cage 93
    Loch Ness Monster 90
     
    #13
  14. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

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    NO smokey. You have to take the odds available or SP but it is BOG. Only the money is virtual, and the shop of course
     
    #14
  15. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor Staff Member

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    Doesn't really matter if you missed half a point on the price then does it? A winner at 11/2 is better than saying "well I didn't get on at 7/1 so was happy to watch it win"

    Go on Ron, risk a virtual tenner on one you think is not quite value. You never know, it might drift <ok>
     
    #15
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  16. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    half a point? It’s more than halved in price
     
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  17. Leyburnlad19

    Leyburnlad19 Active Member

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    Catterick
    1.00 - County Charm 6/1
    3.00 - Jill Rose 7/2
    3.30 - Round The Island 7/4

    Singles and E/w treble on Richard Whitakers 3 on the card.

    Lingfield

    4.10 - Roundabout Magic 9/1
    4.40 - Beat the Breeze 7/1

    Dow/Marquand quick double at Lingers. Singles and e/w double.

    <cheers>
     
    #17
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  18. smokethedeadbadger

    smokethedeadbadger Well-Known Member

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    And will still lose to Mukha Magic!
     
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  19. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    Two things.
    Never ever have I ever put a fake price on here
    And
    Why has Nass put up the two horses I gave him earlier? (Can verify this claim too)

    <confused>
     
    #19
  20. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

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    I have had a virtual tenner on at 6/1 BOG but at the odds when Nass put it up I would have had a bigger stake ew. Happy to risk a tenner on the win
     
    #20

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