Off Topic SARS-CoV-2 Covid-19

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Cortez91 said:
The number of infections on the graphs also don’t take into account the number of tests that were done so that skews it too.

The former WHO scientist who’s tweet I shared on the previous page said next week for the peak.
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I'm sure you're right, but we're at least a week behind that in 'ull?
 
TIGERSCAVE said:
The owners of the ExCel have u-turned on charging £2-£3 million a month for the use of the facility. There are still some charges. NEC is free!!... Private hospitals are charging the NHS for beds. In other countries in Europe they have just been requisitioned.
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Private hospitals are just having their costs covered. No profit.
 
DMD said:
How would you know what stage of infection they were at when they were tested though? Plus, many that died had underlying conditions, which will skew the data too.

I agree about the graphs the media use though. I doubt too many of the 'journalists'* understand too much of what they're looking at, beyond it's use as a sensationalist item.

My guess is we're about two weeks from a peak.

*do we have any actual 'journalists' as opposed to article writers, presenters and shock jockeys?
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In my working life I used to study 'Trends' generated by our computer system, they were great for problem solving - we had them for gas flows, pressures, suctions & draughts etc etc; given enough data you can Trend pretty much anything, at the moment we're not seeing (or perhaps not being shown) enough data to formulate any meaningful Trends, give it another couple of weeks though and any competent analyst will be able to knock up some meaningful patterns.
 
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spesupersydera said:
In my working life I used to study 'Trends' generated by our computer system, they were great for problem solving - we had them for gas flows, pressures, suctions & draughts etc etc; given enough data you can Trend pretty much anything, at the moment we're not seeing (or perhaps not being shown) enough data to formulate any meaningful Trends, give it another couple of weeks though and any competent analyst will be able to knock up some meaningful patterns.
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Your view is reasonable given the established laws of physics. The problem with this situation we are facing right now is this is a biological/social phenomenon, which in combination is much harder to predict - mutation of the virus itself and intransigence of the public (ignoring advice).
There are historical examples obviously we could review & model from, yet many unknowns around this particular outbreak.
Hopefully your predicted 2 weeks will be enough to give us enough data to cement a meaningful strategy.
 
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I saw half a dozen soft top sports cars yesterday heading from a local car park to the A52 near Nottingham yesterday. Seemed very much like a male hairdresser convention.
 
askewshair said:
I'd like to think we can learn from being behind Spain, Italy, Germany etc but also our local response will learn from being well behind London
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My view is that we are following the trend in France more closely than other European Countries. I think we could watch events there, and learn from the outcomes of any changes they make.
 
Just listened to the Nurse of the Year 18 been interviewed on Chris Evans on Virgin. Heart wrenching. I didnt realise/ or just didnt think the nurses and doctors have to change PPE every 30 minutes and between patients. That'll explain shortages, She said the next 7-10 days are going to be awful.... she's also having to self isolate in her own home, even though she has a little boy, she sleeps in the spare room, doesn't eat with them etc. She also said her Trust, had invested in I pad etc so that lived ones in trouble could communicate with family.... She says they also have a 'wobble' room for the staff that are breaking down.... her last message as always Stay at Home...
 
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