I could see the majority of the '21' voting for the deal as they did for May's. I do wonder if Boris will get shot of the DUP or any ERG members that dont vote for it. I very much doubt it.
If Parliament vote the deal down, and Boris is forced to get an extension, there will have to be a GE. Boris's manifesto will be this deal, asking the country to give him the majority in Parliament to get it through. Corbyn's manifesto will just have a drawing of a fence on it!
Yes. I can't see the DUP voting for this. In fairness to them, they never been anything but clear on what their only red line is - no border down the Irish Sea. So when a deal is presented to them with a border down the Irish Sea [essentially shifting the problem from N/S to E/W] it's no shock that they won't vote for it.
Aye. I do wonder if Cummings/Johnson has 'played' the EU and the DUP here though. They know full well what the DUP position is on the border in the Irish Sea and that they would never vote for it. However, they negotiated a deal with the EU which has achieved 'changes' [shifting the problem from N/S to E/W] that can be presented as a new and better deal, despite knowing it won't get through. When rejected, they will be able to use this + the Benn Act as an excuse for an election within the three month extension period, which they are favourites to win - at which point they can push through no deal.
Juncker now saying the EU will not grant a further extension. This is massive and will most likely see Johnson's deal passed.