I can't see England scoring 350 on that pitch against that attack on the 5th day, if Paine trusts his bowlers and the Aussies bat aggressively today they should be safe in this game and have a full day to knock us over. Our bowlers have looked average so far in this match so he should be telling their batsmen to score quickly once they've seen off the new ball...
Smith finally goes for 82, doesn't look like a declaration this evening so likely to be a near 400 lead. Aussies firm favourites...