Daily Racing Thread Monday 20th. May 2019

  • Please bear with us on the new site integration and fixing any known bugs over the coming days. If you can not log in please try resetting your password and check your spam box. If you have tried these steps and are still struggling email [email protected] with your username/registered email address
  • Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!
Does Mr Dalgleish have any runners if so get on. Anybody down in Wales this week watch out for the crazy 300 or so running the "dragons back" ultra 5 day event running the length of said country. <badger><badger><badger>
 
  • Like
Reactions: woolcombe-folly007
4.05 Redcar- Blue de Vega- 6/1

Abit of a cliff horse for me but I am pretty confident today. 2lbs lower than his last win at ascot last year. Seems pretty versatile on the ground. So don’t hold any fears on that. Hasn’t been in bad form this year (can forgive his run on the AW) he runs off the same mark as his 4th at goodwood earlier this month. And this doesn’t seem as deeper class 3 today and altho he can outpaced and runs on at the end, I can’t see him getting to far behind the front runners today and will put on the afterburners and just get up in time.
 
The Queen sends Puzzle back to Redcar; Apparently she loved the sea air and lemon top, going for fish and chips after she collects her winnings
Glee will be close on Elixsoft in the race before

Stay Frosty
Be lucky
Xx
 
  • Like
Reactions: gazboy and Reebok
gazboy said:
Does Mr Dalgleish have any runners if so get on. Anybody down in Wales this week watch out for the crazy 300 or so running the "dragons back" ultra 5 day event running the length of said country. <badger><badger><badger>
Click to expand...

One of his runners slapped me across the chops, earlier. Not because I think it will win but because one ponders if anyone will bid for it / claim him (delete as appropriate after the race) following the contest. Namely the lovely old boy Eye of the Storm (6.45 Leicester). I suspect someone might.
 
Going for a double to start the day:

2:00 Redcar - Knightcap 9/2
2:10 Carlisle - Rayong 6/1
 
  • Like
Reactions: gazboy
BLOWING DIXIE 5.35 Redcar. This is an awful race! if he can't win this he won't win anywhere. For Roger Charlton to send him all the way from Beckhampton to Redcar seems an act of desperation.

What a mess the Derby is looking.Now O'Brien has muddied the waters further. It appears that Sir Dragonet may be supplemented for the French Derby as well as the English. No decision will be made until the 29th May - the last day that horses can be supplemented,he is currently 7/4 for the French and typically 7/2 for the English Derby. To complicate things further he still has his three trials winners - Circus Maximus, Anthony Van Dyck and Broome entered,the last two still have entries in France. It appears that Circus Maximus will run at Epsom - he is not owned by the Coolmore operation but by the Niarchos family.. This leaves Sir Dragonet,Anthony Van Dyck and Broome - but would the Coolmore boys want to pit them against each other? I doubt it. Sir Dragonet has only run on flattish tracks and in testing conditions,who knows what he would be like on an undulating track - especially if firm were to appear in the going description? My gut feeling is that he will run in France. As an interesting sub plot Telecaster is quoted at 4/1 for the French Derby, and Saturday's impressive winner Raise you also holds an entry. The French version is shaping up to be a better race than the English,also EAST has been confirmed as a definite runner in the Irish 1000 10/1 available
 
I know some folks love a "trier" (or is it "tryer"?) but what the **** is Aytach Sadik doing training horses? In the last 5 years he has had 138 runners resulting in just 3 placed efforts and no winners. Today he sends the 44-rated Sussex Road to contest the 3.55 at Ludlow from a whopping 42lbs outside the handicap <doh>
 
OddDog said:
I know some folks love a "trier" (or is it "tryer"?) but what the **** is Aytach Sadik doing training horses? In the last 5 years he has had 138 runners resulting in just 3 placed efforts and no winners. Today he sends the 44-rated Sussex Road to contest the 3.55 at Ludlow from a whopping 42lbs outside the handicap <doh>
Click to expand...

The quixall crossett of trainers
 
OddDog said:
I know some folks love a "trier" (or is it "tryer"?) but what the **** is Aytach Sadik doing training horses? In the last 5 years he has had 138 runners resulting in just 3 placed efforts and no winners. Today he sends the 44-rated Sussex Road to contest the 3.55 at Ludlow from a whopping 42lbs outside the handicap <doh>
Click to expand...

And only a 150/1 shot for his troubles...<ok><laugh><laugh>
 
This Epsom Derby is the messiest I can recall. Broome is generally favourite now and Anthony Van Dyck is a shocking price at 5/1. Even Japan is single figures after a poor effort in the Dante. With the possibility of Telecaster not being supplemented it leaves Bangkok as a 10/1 shot and for all that he won a trial it is not traditionally a good guide to Epsom and runner up Technician bombed out next time.

Rather than have a bet on today's uninspiring fare I decided to make a play for the Epson Classic instead and the money went on Madhmoon at 16/1.

I wasn't keen on Madhmoon for the Guineas after he was beaten on his comeback run but he ran the sort of race that one might associate as a decent trial for Epsom, ie a staying on 4th place in the 2000 Guineas. It's a bit of an ask to get another half mile but the others are so uninspiring at the odds that it is worth a poke at decent odds in my opinion.

Madhmoon has a crucial looking piece of form with Broome from last season. It was the Group 2 Juvenile Stakes at Leopardstown that saw Madhmoon defeat Broome by more than 2 lengths in cosy style over the mile on good-firm ground. When you consider that the beaten horse is generally favourite for the Derby now and that his form this season is on soft/ish ground then the prospect of firmer going at Epsom makes the 4/1 on Broome look short and the 16/1 on Madhmoon look big.

The big ask with Madhmoon is stamina but both his runs last season were at a mile and that would normally give hope for staying a bit further with time as a 3YO. His sire won the Derby and at least Madhmoon has some pace, a factor missing from plenty contenders.

The Guineas form will get a test in the Irish version this week with Magna Grecia trying to double up but in the meantime I decided to have a few quid on Madhmoon at 16/1 for the Epsom dream. The market could change a lot over the next 10 days or so and hopefully there is a clearer picture.

Epsom Derby Madhmoon 16/1
 
Windsor 18.30
The Tin Man is a worthy fav but first time out on fastish ground might not be to his advantage so at 11/10 I think that is too short. Dream of Dreams has Moore on top and has a run under his belt having won at Chelmsford and he's 11/4 2nd Fav. A better value may be Baron Bolt ew at 25/1 having finished 5th behind DOD but was rusty and raced wide, in rear, hampered final 1f, late headway.
Baron Bolt ew at 25/1
 
2 for 2, hopefully the chip shop is open..

Heis said:
The Queen sends Puzzle back to Redcar; Apparently she loved the sea air and lemon top, going for fish and chips after she collects her winnings
Glee will be close on Elixsoft in the race before

Stay Frosty
Be lucky
Xx
Click to expand...
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top Bottom
Back