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Match Day Thread Everton v Southampton Saturday 5th May 17:30

Discussion in 'Southampton' started by OddRiverOakWizards, Apr 30, 2018.

  1. ChilcoSaint

    ChilcoSaint What a disgrace
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    West Hame are also still very much in the mix too don’t forget. Away to Leicester, and home to Man U and Everton, they might only get a point or two.
     
    #21
  2. Le Tissier's Laces

    Le Tissier's Laces Well-Known Member

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    Was Boufal there too? Dangerous around a gym apparently!
     
    #22
  3. tomw24

    tomw24 Well-Known Member
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    We win this game we stay up IMO.
     
    #23
  4. Archers Road

    Archers Road Urban Spaceman

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    The draw is the value bet then, imo.


    Do you bet on Saints Vin? I never do, partly out of superstition, but mostly because it's impossible to be objective. Plus, I've made a big enough emotional investment. It wouldn't matter any more if there was money on it.
     
    #24
  5. Le Tissier's Laces

    Le Tissier's Laces Well-Known Member

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    My Turkish friend has just told me that Tosun in Turkish means “chubby”. This makes me feel slightly more confident. Chubby and Shrek up front shouldn’t trouble us for pace at least.
     
    #25
  6. jonny 'hasen' shuttle

    jonny 'hasen' shuttle Well-Known Member

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    Everton are on a good run but there are a significant number of Evertonians that do not like Big Sam.

    I am hoping we can start well, get some decent possesssion and then maybe those fans will start making anti-sam noises!

    It really depends on how the other teams get on but a point could go a long way
     
    #26
    Last edited: May 1, 2018
  7. Onionman

    Onionman Well-Known Member

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    I always bet a massive £4 - £6 a game

    Couple of Saints players £2 each "to score at any time", normally Maya and another centre back. So Hoetd at 27/1 when he scored against West Brom was a nice £54. I also go for a £2 "correct score" which of late has just been a paid-for display of my hopeless optimism. It's betting for a bit of interest at that level.

    My favourite loss was backing us (£2 again, at 250/1) to win 6-0 against Sunderland, seeing us get to 6-0 and cheering us on like a demented loon to score more.

    Off subject, my big bets I keep for politics. Yet to lose on any whelping big ones. Trump to win, Tories overall majority in 2015, No overall majority 2017, Brexit. I'm currently waiting on the right price for Trump not to make it to the end of his term, which I'm beginning to see as a good bet if I can get the right price.

    Vin
     
    #27
  8. Tobes

    Tobes Warden
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    Those odds merely represent the book. There’s obviously been plenty of confident Soton fans backing the away win off the back of your win last weekend. There’s nothing in your away form or our home form that would make you favourites for this game.
     
    #28
  9. Saintmagic

    Saintmagic Well-Known Member

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    I think what he is saying though is that over time the book generally is correct, ie where the money tends to be placed usually is the final outcome.

    I haven't done any research into whether that is correct or not, but I think that is what he means.
     
    #29
  10. Tobes

    Tobes Warden
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    Rooney plays either in a deep midfield position or as a No. 10 these days.

    Tosun isn’t quick but he’s a handful and in good form. Our pace comes mainly from Walcott with Bolasie on the other flank.
     
    #30

  11. ----HistoryRepeating----

    ----HistoryRepeating---- Well-Known Member

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    How do you see this panning out Tobes? Any predictions.
     
    #31
  12. SAINTDON13

    SAINTDON13 Well-Known Member

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    ... AND THE BAD NEWS IS:-

    Saturday 5TH May 2018

    17:30 Everton v Southampton
    Referee: Jonathan Moss
    Assistants: Eddie Smart, Constantine Hatzidakis
    Fourth official: Lee Mason
     
    #32
  13. ----HistoryRepeating----

    ----HistoryRepeating---- Well-Known Member

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    The only positive from that is, its not Roger East.
     
    #33
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  14. Le Tissier's Laces

    Le Tissier's Laces Well-Known Member

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    Sure, I was just doing that a little bit tongue in cheek. Tosun I'm worried about as we struggle in the air from crosses etc, and that seems to be something he's good at.
     
    #34
  15. It'sOnlyAGame

    It'sOnlyAGame Well-Known Member

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    Jonathan Moss backed up by Lee Mason, the proverbial dreamteam of incompetence.
     
    #35
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  16. jonny 'hasen' shuttle

    jonny 'hasen' shuttle Well-Known Member

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    #36
    OddRiverOakWizards likes this.
  17. ----HistoryRepeating----

    ----HistoryRepeating---- Well-Known Member

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    That 7-1 is still one of my most painful memories.
     
    #37
  18. Tobes

    Tobes Warden
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    He’s a good finisher, our issue is that we don’t tend to create many chances for him. I can see Hughes playing Long to try and hit us on the counter.
     
    #38
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  19. Onionman

    Onionman Well-Known Member

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    There are dozens of mathematics papers on the subject that disagree with you. Betting exchanges are astoundingly accurate at reflecting the true odds of something happening. They are accurate enough that by blindly backing any football outcome when a bookmaker offers better odds than a betting exchange, you make a profit.

    Vin
     
    #39
  20. jonny 'hasen' shuttle

    jonny 'hasen' shuttle Well-Known Member

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    Hey Tobes what % of the home crowd are anti Sam Alardyce do you reckon?
    Do you think this could be a factor on Saturday?
     
    #40

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