West Hame are also still very much in the mix too don’t forget. Away to Leicester, and home to Man U and Everton, they might only get a point or two.
The draw is the value bet then, imo. Do you bet on Saints Vin? I never do, partly out of superstition, but mostly because it's impossible to be objective. Plus, I've made a big enough emotional investment. It wouldn't matter any more if there was money on it.
My Turkish friend has just told me that Tosun in Turkish means “chubby”. This makes me feel slightly more confident. Chubby and Shrek up front shouldn’t trouble us for pace at least.
Everton are on a good run but there are a significant number of Evertonians that do not like Big Sam. I am hoping we can start well, get some decent possesssion and then maybe those fans will start making anti-sam noises! It really depends on how the other teams get on but a point could go a long way
I always bet a massive £4 - £6 a game Couple of Saints players £2 each "to score at any time", normally Maya and another centre back. So Hoetd at 27/1 when he scored against West Brom was a nice £54. I also go for a £2 "correct score" which of late has just been a paid-for display of my hopeless optimism. It's betting for a bit of interest at that level. My favourite loss was backing us (£2 again, at 250/1) to win 6-0 against Sunderland, seeing us get to 6-0 and cheering us on like a demented loon to score more. Off subject, my big bets I keep for politics. Yet to lose on any whelping big ones. Trump to win, Tories overall majority in 2015, No overall majority 2017, Brexit. I'm currently waiting on the right price for Trump not to make it to the end of his term, which I'm beginning to see as a good bet if I can get the right price. Vin
Those odds merely represent the book. There’s obviously been plenty of confident Soton fans backing the away win off the back of your win last weekend. There’s nothing in your away form or our home form that would make you favourites for this game.
I think what he is saying though is that over time the book generally is correct, ie where the money tends to be placed usually is the final outcome. I haven't done any research into whether that is correct or not, but I think that is what he means.
Rooney plays either in a deep midfield position or as a No. 10 these days. Tosun isn’t quick but he’s a handful and in good form. Our pace comes mainly from Walcott with Bolasie on the other flank.
... AND THE BAD NEWS IS:- Saturday 5TH May 2018 17:30 Everton v Southampton Referee: Jonathan Moss Assistants: Eddie Smart, Constantine Hatzidakis Fourth official: Lee Mason
Sure, I was just doing that a little bit tongue in cheek. Tosun I'm worried about as we struggle in the air from crosses etc, and that seems to be something he's good at.
We have not won a league game at Goodison since 1997 I think i remember watching the game on Sky TV in 1997 as davies scored So thats 20 years. Bout time we won ! https://www.11v11.com/matches/everton-v-southampton-02-november-1997-23058/
He’s a good finisher, our issue is that we don’t tend to create many chances for him. I can see Hughes playing Long to try and hit us on the counter.
There are dozens of mathematics papers on the subject that disagree with you. Betting exchanges are astoundingly accurate at reflecting the true odds of something happening. They are accurate enough that by blindly backing any football outcome when a bookmaker offers better odds than a betting exchange, you make a profit. Vin
Hey Tobes what % of the home crowd are anti Sam Alardyce do you reckon? Do you think this could be a factor on Saturday?