Can't speak from a like for like perspective but Chelsea are 9 pts worse off than they were after 24 games last year (funny how you never hear this being mentioned), ourselves and Woolwich 5 pts worse off, Pool just 1 point better off, United 8pts and City 19
What is "schedule" ?? If Spurs repeat the remaining fixture results home and away like for like with last season, they finish with 73 pts. 1. Do you believe that is enough for 4th place ?? I do not. 2. So where are the extra points coming from ?? They can only come from games Spurs drew or lost last season. 3. That repeat includes home wins against ALL of Citeh / Goons / Man Utd.
If you are so inclined as to do season like for like analytics on all of them, some of them currently may be in a similar position to Spurs.
When you have a home record of played 19 won 17 drew 2 then it was always going to be a hard ask to better it. We drew 0-0 with Pool at home last year but smashed them 4-1 at Wembley this year. Like for like a 13 point drop is nuts but in the context of this season we are 2 points off 4th...well within our reach.
This is how I see it. We dropped points last year to Bournemouth, West Brom and Leicester (all draws). Wouldn't be a shock if we made up 6 points here. Liverpool away is tough and we were beat there last year. If they pay like last night then we have a chance. Utd is a tough game to maintain our 3 points, but not impossible and I would make us favourites at Wembley v Goons. Chelsea away and City at home will be very unlikely wins, but a couple of draws? All in all I predict 76 points By the way, difference v last year to RDBD is just on promoted teams and how treated. I assume we'll beat the 3 that we have left to play, but we drew with Sunderland last year.
For only 2/3 of the PL season gone, that drop is near-fatal. There is a lot of busparquet to come both home and away, and I have severe doubts Pochettino or the squad know how to overcome it (they repeat the same errors even now) .
I agree. 31 out of 42 points is a realistic target. The crucial games will be the 5 against our main rivals. Quite like how we nabbed 4th in 2009-10. I'm quietly confident about our games against United, Arsenal and even Chelsea away. The trip to Anfield scares me as if we approach it arrogantly and naively we'll get torn apart. We need to swallow our pride and play like Swansea and quite simply - we'll win. We also need to hope that City have all but won the title by the time we host them as they'll hopefully be more focused on the CL than the PL by then.
Against Pool we need to hit them on the break or forget it. If we play our typical style against them...I will be giving Poch some pelters
Don't panic lads we have been missing Toby for a while coco has been out for ages but is now back and big vic is back and we're only a couple of points off 4th place .plenty of time to get up to 2nd place with our first 11 now back nearly fit .COYS
Chelsea have a horrendous run of games Feb-March time: Barca H United A City A Palace H Barca A Burnley A Spurs H Liverpool by contrast have a far easier run-in but then again they are far more likely to drop points at home to West Ham than they are at home to us. I don't see us catching United anymore. They've just added a world class player who knows the PL inside out to their squad and have an 8 point cushion over us. We need to beat them at Wembley just to keep 4th alive, forget 2nd.
The last week upgrades my prediction to 79 points. That'll be enough for top 4 if we can achieve it. Means winning every winnable game for the rest of the season, but the 3 above us (not City) are inconsistent. We are in good form, any poor run for any of us now could be fatal.
Yes (although we didn't play Huddersfield, Brighton or Newcastle so it's tricky to assert that) but we dropped points away to Bournemouth and West Bromwich and at home to Leicester. We lost at Chelsea. We can improve on those I would say. The win against City is the biggest risk to our equalling last season's results.
It is now mathematically impossible to equal last season's tallly. Win all our remaining games and we end up on 85pts.
