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Prediction League Prediction League 2014-15

Discussion in 'Hull City' started by RicardoHCAFC, Jul 23, 2014.

  1. Davies Headband

    Davies Headband Well-Known Member

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    Arsenal 2-1 West Bromwich Albion
    Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley
    Chelsea 2-0 Sunderland
    Crystal Palace 1-1 Swansea City
    Everton 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur
    Hull City 0-1 Manchester United
    Leicester City 2-1 Queens Park Rangers
    Manchester City 2-0 Southampton
    Newcastle United 0-1 West Ham United
    Stoke City 2-1 Liverpool
     
    #1601
  2. ellewoods

    ellewoods Well-Known Member

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    Hahah tigerscanada love how you kept editing your picks to copy mine. I got the last edit in!
     
    #1602
  3. tigerscanada

    tigerscanada Well-Known Member

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    Psyched you out there ellewoods ? Thought you'd get another at-bat between me leaving for the game ( 1pm UK time) and the deadline...despite the 8 hour time difference !
    Just this minute got back to Toronto. The lads gave it a good shot, but those Jordies made it impossible anyway.
    After jet-lag subsides etc., I'll get round to putting out final stats for the season for everyone...a well fought battle. Hoisted by your own petard - 2-1, 1-2 !! The odd draw helped me in the long run no doubt.

    We share the spoils methinks - no-one beats you for most weekly wins on any basis. Just that one week you missed that probably was the difference on total points ?
     
    #1603
  4. Girt Bucket

    Girt Bucket Well-Known Member

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    Have any of our posters got any nice words for our resident number cruncher , The statistical officianado that Is Tigerscanada. I for one , wish to thank-you , and Bum Chinned Crab (P.M - BCC, your preffered point of collection, details.) will be sending over in air freight a case of fine blended single malt whiskey from Us all on the Hull City Forum , friends & fans alike. Oh when are we likely to see a final amalagamtion of the final prediction ladder. Coz you are a lazy blighter. 3 Cheers Tigerscanada<cheers>

    HIP HIP HOORAY ...............
     
    #1604
  5. DanKelly

    DanKelly Well-Known Member

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    I'd like to second what the local Garbo has said. Thanks for everything you've done this season TC
     
    #1605
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  6. PoolTiger

    PoolTiger Active Member

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    I will third it, well done TigersCanada <ok><ok><ok>
     
    #1606
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  7. originallambrettaman

    originallambrettaman Mod Moderator
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    Aye, well done all concerned, it's much appreciated.

    Though you could have given me a few more points...
     
    #1607
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  8. John Ex Aberdeen now E.R.

    John Ex Aberdeen now E.R. Well-Known Member

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    I second that. thanks to all and especially Tigerscanada <ok><ok><ok>
     
    #1608
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  9. Blaknamberblood

    Blaknamberblood Well-Known Member

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    another good season and well officiated, top effort TC
     
    #1609
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  10. philhul

    philhul Well-Known Member

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    totally agree......well done TC
     
    #1610
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  11. rovertiger

    rovertiger Well-Known Member

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    Thanks for all the hard work TC
     
    #1611
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  12. Fez

    Fez Well-Known Member

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    Taught us all a few home truths did this! Great bit of fun I've never tried before, so a big thanks to Tigerscanada for the graft and everyone else for the lesson in humility. :emoticon-0103-cool:
     
    #1612
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  13. tigerscanada

    tigerscanada Well-Known Member

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    Final Weekend Results - Round 36 - May 24th...a very sad day indeed.

    I'll be publishing later today - probably when most of you are asleep.
    FINAL SEASON STATS may come this evening also, but most likely tomorrow as I'm off out on the piss as we speak - apparently my son is saying he has missed me and he wants a few bevvies, the cheap sod.
     
    #1613
    Fez likes this.
  14. tigerscanada

    tigerscanada Well-Known Member

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    Final Results - Final week - Round 36 - May 24th .

    Check your scores - it's not that I'm pissed or owt so humiliating...but it would be a wise move to add up your scores this week !

    "There is no guarantee that I have managed to get a score wrong - give or take, but then again, I'll be sober in the morning and the results will still be ugly.
    There's even less chance I'll respond to any claim of malfeasance, milord."

    Septic Bladder
    $xx


    ...........................Pts


    TigersCanada...........5
    PhilHul....................4
    CANADATIGER........4
    TigerRoo..................6
    RoverTiger...............4
    Greater Garbo..........4
    The French Tickler...4
    BlackNamberblood...5
    ellewoods.................8
    JohneXAberdeen......4
    H3-L1.......................7
    Irememberwaggy.....5
    Mr Hat....................9
    DaviesHeadband......7
    Fez..........................4
    2Jaysafloat..............7
    HFFP.......................6
    PoolTiger.................5
    OLM........................7
    DanKelly.................10.........this weeks winner<applause>
    City1904..................4
    Erik........................6
    HullDavidMail.........2
    AlphaKennyBody.....6
    Spurs Disciple.........4
    Quill........................5



    FINAL YEAR-END standings to follow as sure as my next beer is eggs.
    ..honestly.
     
    #1614
    Last edited: May 29, 2015
  15. tigerscanada

    tigerscanada Well-Known Member

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    Nowt amiss with an occasional bung , tha knows.
     
    #1615
  16. tigerscanada

    tigerscanada Well-Known Member

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    UPDATE re Season's FINAL STATS.

    I've done the number crunching - I've just gotta post them which requires a ton of editing and 2 or 3 separate posts due to size restrictions.
    Hope to have all this done before the weekend. Apologies for the delay - had a fair bit (last 7 rounds) of weekly results to enter when I got back from my Hull trip.
    Thanks for your patience.

    FAO: Ricardo.
    Will you be setting up the Predictions thread for next season ? I'll willingly keep the records & report results thereafter.
     
    #1616
  17. tigerscanada

    tigerscanada Well-Known Member

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    Predictions League – 2014-2015 Season – FINAL STATS

    PART 1. ......more posts to follow.

    General Summary

    Over the season we played 36 rounds (2 less than last season due to City’s shortened cup run compared to previous season). There were 1050 entries submitted, which gave an average of just over 29 participants per round. As suspected, Round 1 had the most participants (44), we averaged between 30-38 up until Round 19, with the average submissions falling to roughly 26 per round for the remainder of the season.

    With 30 points max available per round, over the season our average points worked out to be 5.87 per man-week played. The lowest weekly average was 3.89 (Round 5), the highest was 8.34 (Round 10). Out of the 1050 entries, only 4 regular punters managed the ignominy of scoring 0 points in a round. They shall remain anonymous to protect them from ridicule !


    Details of the following categories will follow in several subsequent posts below for those interested. Size restrictions of a post requires multiple submissions, plus the editing/formatting restrictions make it easier for me if I break them up.


    1. Weekly Wins table

    29 contributors managed to secure at least 1 point on the Ricardo Rules ( one point given for sole wins and a share of a win)..

    Of the 29 average regular punters playing per round, only 2 regulars didn’t appear in the winners circle. They shall also remain anonymous. 2 of the weekly winners had played 6 rounds or less.

    Once ellewoods got on top of the weekly winners table (Round 11), he retained top place for the rest of the season. He had the most wins (5) under the “Ricardo rules” (a point for a sole win or a share of a win), and also most wins on the “% share rules” basis (3.03). – the latter was comprised of 2 sole wins, 1 half share, one 1/3rd share and one 1/5th share of a win.

    Congratulations ellewoods. <applause><applause><applause>

    JohnExAberdeen came in a close second (4 wins – Ricardo Rules, 2.03 - % share basis – 1 sole win, 1 half share, one 1/3rd share, one 1/5th share).

    Congratulations JohnXA.<applause><applause>

    SEVEN other players came in joint 3rd with 3 Ricardo Rules wins each, with DanKelly taking the prize on the highest weekly score tie-breaker rule (Ricardo again) having a high-water-mark score of 15 points (Round 21). He just pipped
    Mr Hat, who also had 3 Ricardo Rules wins AND 15 points (Round 21). A second level of tie-breaker (% share basis) was used to differentiate these. DanKelly – 2.5 – 2 sole wins, one half share, Mr Hat – 1.7 – one sole win, 1 half share and 1 1/5th share). I suppose we could have used another tie-breaker – i.e. total points gained in the 3 wins, DanKelly had 39 points (15+14+10), Mr Hat had 40 (15+14+11). Both methods have merit as a tie-breaker rule, but I lean towards 1 sole win is more difficult to achieve than a shared win, but it’s debateable.

    Congratulations to both you guys ( DanKelly & Mr Hat) <applause> – feel free to share the podium for 3rd place !


    The High Water Mark best score was 16 points (twice by ellewoods (Rounds 10 and 12), once by Greater Garbo (Round 7). This score matches the 16 OLM had last season. The lowest weekly score for a win was 7 points
    ( City1904 and Irememberwaggy – shared Round 33).

    There were only 3 punters who had 2 non-shared sole wins throughout the season, they were ellewoods (HWM=16), DanKelly (HWM=15) and Alpha KennyBody (HWM of 10 points).

    Ellewoods had 3 wins in a row (Rounds 10 to 12) and all 5 of his wins came in an 8 week period (Rounds 10 through 17). Impressive indeed. I believe 2-1 and 1-2 scores became slim pickings after week 17….couldn’t resist elle :emoticon-0105-wink:

    Well done to all 29 weekly winners.

    ................................Ricardo...HWM.....% shared.. Rnds.....Win %/WkPd....Win %/WkPd
    ..................................Wins........Pts..........Wins.......Pd...........%.basis.............Ricardo basis
    ellewoods..............5..............16.............3.03..........35.........8.66....................14.29......<applause><bubbly>
    JohneXAberdeen.....4..............15..... .......2.03..........36.........5.64....................11.11
    DanKelly..................3...............15.............2.50.........32..........7.81.....................9.38
    Mr Hat.....................3...............15.............1.70..........35.........4.86.....................8.57
    H3-L1........................3..............12.............1.66..........36.........4.61.....................8.33
    City1904....................3..............11.............2.00.........28..........7.14....................10.71
    tigerscanada..............3..............11.............1.53..........36..........4.25.....................8.33
    Alpha Kenny body....3..............10............2.33..........30..........7.77....................10.00
    PoolTiger..................3..............10............1.83...........35..........5.23......................8.57
    PhilHul.....................2..............15.............1.50..........36..........4.17......................5.56
    CANADATIGER.......2..............15.............1.50..........36..........4.17......................5.56
    DaviesHeadband.......2.............12..............1.33..........35.........3.80......................5.71
    HFFP........................2..............11..............1.33..........34.........3.91......................5.88
    Febbos......................2..............11..............1.33..........18..........7.39....................11.11
    Irememberwaggy......2..............9...............1.00.........36..........2.78.....................5.56
    Greater Garbo...........1.............16...............1.00.........36..........2.78.....................2.78
    Sir Cheshire Ben.......1.............15..............1.00..........24..........4.17.....................4.17
    TigerRoo....................1............14...............1.00.........36..........2.78.....................2.78
    Blaknamberblood......1............12...............0.33.........36..........0.92.....................2.78
    The French Tickler....1............11...............1.00.........34..........2.94.....................2.94
    Fez.............................1.............11...............0.50........36..........1.39......................2.78
    Patty'n'Chips..............1.............11...............0.20........28.........0.71.......................3.57
    Erik............................1..............9...............1.00........32..........3.13.......................3.13
    HullDavidMail............1.............9................1.00.......35..........2.86.......................2.86
    BarmbysTan...............1.............9................1.00.........2.........50.00...................50.00
    RoverTiger..................1.............9................0.33.......36..........0.92.......................2.78
    SpursDisciple..............1.............9................0.33.......25..........1.32.......................4.00
    2Jaysafloat.................1..............9................0.33.......29..........1.14........................3.45
    Jezz511.......................1..............8...............0.33..........6.........5.50......................16.67


    More posts to follow for:
    Total Season Points totals ( #1618 )
    City Points totals ( #1619 )
    Final 7 weeks form table (# weeks since last stats report) (#1619 )
     
    #1617
    Last edited: Jun 4, 2015
  18. tigerscanada

    tigerscanada Well-Known Member

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    Predictions League – 2014-2015 Season – FINAL STATS

    PART 2. ......more posts to follow.

    2. Total Points Table (36 Rounds)

    Once again, a closely fought contest. In the first 10 rounds the lead changed hands 3 times (PhilHul, tigerscanada and Sir Cheshire Ben), and then ellewoods hit his purple patch, and in Round 11 he gained the lead, winning 5 times in the space of 8 weeks, which he held right up until the 34th round, quite a run, only to be pipped at the penultimate hurdle (round 35).In the final 10 or so rounds both Mr. Hat and JohnExAberdeen put on strong home stretch challenges to make the final 4 rounds very interesting indeed. It was such a close finish one wonders, looking at their pts/weeks played averages, how the final top 3 places would have panned out had ellewoods (Round 2) & Mr. Hat (Round 7) not missed one weeks submissions. It just takes 2 or 3 rounds to shake the placings up - the form table for the last 7 rounds ( see a later post) points out that anyone can win the race over the long haul. The lucky sod from Ontario did it again. (nowt to do with the fact that he's also the scorekeeper btw - honest, he's no relation to Septic Blatter as far as yours truly is aware of).
    Well done to all participants.


    ......................................Pts........Wks............Pts/
    ...................................................Pd...........Wk Played
    tigerscanada..................235........36..............6.53
    ellewoods.......................231........35..............6.60
    Mr Hat...........................228.......35..............6.51
    JohneXAberdeen............222.......36..............6.17
    PhilHul..........................217........36..............6.03
    TigerRoo........................214........36.............5.94
    DaviesHeadband............213........35.............6.09
    HFFP.............................211........34..............6.21
    H3-L1.............................209.......36..............5.81
    The French Tickler.........204.......34..............6.00
    DanKelly........................200.......32..............6.25
    HullDavidMail................200.......35..............5.71
    Greater Garbo................200.......36..............5.56
    CANADATIGER..............198........36..............5.50
    Blaknamberblood...........198........36..............5.50
    RoverTiger.....................196........36..............5.44
    OLM...............................195........35..............5.57
    PoolTiger........................186........35..............5.31
    Fez.................................186........36..............5.17
    Irememberwaggy............183........36..............5.08
    Erik................................169........32..............5.28
    City1904.........................168........28..............6.00
    2Jaysafloat.....................157........29..............5.41
    Patty'n'Chips...................151.......28...............5.39
    Alpha Kenny body...........151........30..............5.03
    SpursDisciple.................145........25..............5.80
    Sir Cheshire Ben.............143.......24..............5.96
    Quill...............................136.......27...............5.04
    TheCasual.......................117.......20...............5.85
    Febbos............................113.......18...............6.28
    kiwiqpr............................80......15...............5.33
    TigerRev...........................77.......11...............7.00
    TigerinSydney...................68......13...............5.23
    HCHKR............................66......12................5.50
    TopBanana/Edmund........61.......10...............6.10
    ollyhcafc..........................47........9................5.22
    Jezz511.............................35........6................5.83
    Maurice Moss/IdiAmin.....35........7................5.00
    Anal Frank Fingers...........22........3................7.33
    westtigerhull....................22........4................5.50
    WhittlingStick..................19........4................4.75
    BarmbysTan.....................13........2................6.50
    Candy Man.......................11.........1................11.00
    Groot................................6.........1.................6.00
    fickle.................................6........1..................6.00
    Allan mcgregor..................6........2.................3.00
    TigerforLife.......................5........1.................5.00
    tigernev70.........................4........1.................4.00
    Ricardo.............................3........1.................3.00
     
    #1618
    Last edited: Jun 4, 2015
  19. tigerscanada

    tigerscanada Well-Known Member

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    Predictions League – 2014-2015 Season – FINAL STATS

    PART 3

    3. Hull City AFC predictions Table. (36 Rounds)


    This category was introduced this season from a suggestion made by CANADATIGER.
    In the early running, Mr Hat held the lead for quite a few rounds, with the eventual winner being TigeRoo (27 pts).
    I'm quite certain he would have willingly given up 5 of those points to City to secure their safety, as would any of us.
    Congratulations TigerRoo <applause><applause>:emoticon-0167-beer::emoticon-0168-drink

    ......................................City points..


    TigerRoo...........................27....<applause>
    Irememberwaggy.............24
    OLM.................................23
    H3-L1...............................23
    Blaknamberblood............22
    ElleWoods........................22
    Erik...................................21
    HFFP................................20
    City1904...........................20
    Mr Hat..............................20
    2Jaysafloat........................18
    Greater Garbo...................17
    DaviesHeadband...............17
    The French Tickler............16
    Alpha Kenny body.............16
    TigersCanada....................15
    CANADATIGER................15
    RoverTiger........................15
    PoolTiger..........................15
    Patty'n'Chips.....................15
    HullDavidMail..................15
    JohneXAberdeen..............14
    Febbos...............................14
    PhilHul..............................13
    DanKelly............................12
    Sir Cheshire Ben...............12
    TopBanana/Edmund........12
    Quill...................................11
    SpursDisciple....................11
    TheCasual.........................10
    kiwiqpr..............................10
    TigerinSydney.....................9
    Fez.......................................9
    TigerRev..............................7
    Anal Frank Fingers.............7
    HCHKR...............................5
    ollyhcafc..............................5
    Maurice Moss/IdiAmin......4
    Jezz511................................4
    fickl.....................................3
    WhittlingStick.....................2
    Candy Man..........................2
    TigerforLife.........................2

    PART 4

    4. Final 7 weeks form table. (Rounds 30-36)

    A few late spurts for glory here.

    .......................................Pts........Pts/
    ....................................................Wk Pd


    HFFP..............................56.........8.00
    DanKelly........................49.........7.00
    TigerRoo........................48..........6.86
    JohneXAberdeen...........47..........6.71
    tigerscanada..................44..........6.29
    PhilHul..........................43..........6.14
    PoolTiger.......................43..........6.14
    Mr Hat...........................42..........6.00
    The French Tickler.........41..........5.86
    H3-L1.............................41..........5.86
    2Jaysafloat.....................39.........5.57
    DaviesHeadband............38.........5.43
    ellewoods.......................38.........5.43
    Blaknamberblood...........37.........5.29
    City1904.........................37..........5.29
    Greater Garbo................35..........5.00
    HullDavidMail................34.........4.86
    Fez..................................33.........4.71
    CANADATIGER..............32..........4.57
    RoverTiger.....................29..........4.14
    OLM...............................29..........4.14
    Irememberwaggy...........28..........4.00
    Patty'n'Chips..................27...........5.40
    Alpha Kenny body..........27...........4.50
    Quill...............................25...........6.25
    SpursDisciple.................22..........4.40
    Erik................................21...........4.20
    TigerinSydney..................8..........4.00
    TheCasual........................5...........5.00

    Part 5.

    5. Top 10 winning percentages per game played.

    .........................................%............Ricardo...rounds
    .......................................basis.........basis.......played

    BarmbysTan...................50.00........50.00.........2
    ellewoods..........................8.66........14.29........35
    DanKelly...........................7.81...........9.38........32
    Alpha Kenny body.............7.77.........10.00........30
    Febbos...............................7.39.........11.11.........18
    City1904.............................7.14.........10.71........28
    JohneXAberdeen...............5.64.........11.11........36
    Jezz511...............................5.50.........16.67.........6
    PoolTiger...........................5.23..........8.57........35
    Mr Hat...............................4.86..........8.57........35


     
    #1619
    Last edited: Jun 4, 2015
  20. tigerscanada

    tigerscanada Well-Known Member

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    Predictions League – 2014-2015 Season – FINAL STATS

    Just a final word.

    Thanks to everyone who participated this season - it's a lot of fun and somehow distracts us a little bit from the trials & tribulations of City's up & down fortunes, and keeps us all aware of what's going on the the other divisions.
    Special thanks to
    Ricardo for setting up the OP with the rules etc...(we bent 'em slightly a couple of times this season), thanks to all those who submitted fixtures week by week, and a special thanks to PoolTiger for pointing out inevitable errors in my reporting throughout the season.

    Here's to next season.
    UTT
     
    #1620
    Last edited: Jun 4, 2015

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