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2016/17 Season Progress

Discussion in 'Liverpool' started by astro, Sep 17, 2016.

  1. Peej

    Peej Fabio Borini Lover

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    Form is temporary, deltmowns are permanent.
     
    #181
  2. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    #182
  3. moreinjuredthanowen

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    #183
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  4. moreinjuredthanowen

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  5. moreinjuredthanowen

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  6. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    #186
  7. Treble

    Treble Keyser Söze

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    <laugh>
     
    #187
  8. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    #188
  9. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    #189
  10. moreinjuredthanowen

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    Over season form target: 73 points..
    Over last 10 games form target: 15/10*11 = call it 15 more points.+ 52 = 67 points
    Over last 5 games form target: 7/5*11 = 15 more +52 = 67 points.

    So nows the time. Things must change for the better or LFC won't get 4th.

    this block is 6/12 with one game coming (burnley)

    our remaining games are:

    12th March Burnley H cannot play away. should be very close to safe
    18th March Man City A top 4 rival
    1st April Everton H Can;t play at anfield. Dunno what it is but they are jinxed.
    5th April Bournemouth H Bournmeouth will need at least apooint and will be getting desperate
    8th April Stoke A On hols
    16th April WBA A On hols
    22nd April Crystal Palace H - will be desperate and will park bus.
    29th April Watford A On hols
    6th May Southampton H on hols
    13th May West ham A On hols
    21st May Middlesboro H will either be already relegated or absolutely desperate


    Honeslty that run in is very very favorable. There are only 3 sides in relegation trouble in the run and only one top 4 rival left.

    If we only take 15 points (5 wins after all) I for one would be selling the whole squad as these should be games that a team wanting points should win cos frankly 6 sides should not be too bothered and should be thinking of their summer holidays. Thats 18 points right there and 70 points. the other 5 games are what will get us top 4 or not.

    If we bascailly don't bother ourselves we will fail. What we are righting is

    a) arsenal end of era
    b) utd fighting for cups but can go on run easy

    If we get beat in a straight up dog fight for 4th fine but if we just bottle it it'll be tragic
     
    #190
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  11. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    #191
  12. moreinjuredthanowen

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    So if we can get a positive result out of the next two games then we are looking at 5 teams who will be total on hols. If we cannot get 70 points now after getting to 55 with 10 to go it will be a massive flop

    given the bottom 3 are on 24/25 points with 10 to go I think the 37-38 point mark seems like safety

    Bournemouth have hit 30 points. I would hope they don't turn us over not at home.
     
    #192
  13. moreinjuredthanowen

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    upload_2017-3-12_19-43-23.png

    you can see where the battle was lost starkly in this chart but right now... we can get 75 points

    Our season long form = 75 points
    Our last 10 form = 70 points (includes disastrous January)
    Our last 5 form = 73 points.

    Lets be clear. Its going to be very tight for 4th. All 5 teams for 2nd to 6th can get well past 70 if they play anyway decently.

    I would set a tentative target of 75 points for 4th as a result. Deffo a unique season with 6 going for 4 slots.
     
    #193
  14. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    Our form over the last 2 games has us on for 85 points
     
    #194
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  15. moreinjuredthanowen

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    Yeah that is our maximum possible total now.
     
    #195
  16. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    #196
  17. Peej

    Peej Fabio Borini Lover

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    <doh>
     
    #197
  18. carlthejackal

    carlthejackal Well-Known Member

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    That is why the stats/charts are so unreliable. Do you go with the last 10 matches, last 5 matches or last 2 matches to predict the final points total? They all give hugely different figures and outcomes.

    You have to look at other issues. Manager change or staying? Injuries? Suspensions? European involvement? 2 matches a week? Leicester again bucks the trend. If you look at their last 10 matches they are in relegation trouble but if the last 2-3 matches, they are top 8.

    For me, if we beat City, we must be favourites to finish top 4. Confidence and momentum.
     
    #198
  19. moreinjuredthanowen

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    Sky have actually predicted we finish 4th on 73 points with utd 5th on 70 :)

    just saying..... form over the season rarely changes. all i'm saying is we had a bad dip in there and if we continue in the vien of the last 5 games we can get 4th.

    as do the sky boffins..
     
    #199
  20. Diego

    Diego Lone Ranger

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    The general form guide seems to be 10 games in which case it's

    Won 3
    Draw 2
    Lost 5

    Where does that leave you?
     
    #200

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